RE: Afternoon delight....26 May 2026 17:47
All part of the game JT! You once you have a core holding it should matter little.
I’m hoping Cannacord Genuity update their last target from Jan 9th. So much more value adding news and de-risking to come. One must assume, the target should increase as our development also does.
Reminder of their previous call on Empire.
“Canaccord starts Empire Metals with 62p target, flagging upside from Pitfield titanium project
Canaccord Genuity has initiated coverage of Empire Metals Ltd (AIM:EEE, OTCQX:EPMLF) with a 'buy' recommendation and a 62p price target, implying material upside from the current share price of 44.6p, as the broker highlights the scale and quality of the company’s flagship Pitfield titanium project in Western Australia.
The initiation centres on Pitfield’s potential to become a long-life, low-cost producer of high-value titanium dioxide products, positioning Empire as an emerging player in critical minerals supply chains.
Canaccord describes Pitfield as a “unique, large-scale and high-grade” deposit, underpinned by an October 2025 maiden mineral resource estimate of 2.2 billion tonnes at 5.1% TiO₂, containing 113 million tonnes of titanium dioxide.
Crucially, the broker notes that the existing indicated resource alone could support an initial 30-year mine life, reducing long-term resource risk at this early stage.
Valuation is driven by a net asset value approach, reflecting the project’s development status. Canaccord estimates an unrisked NAV of 124p per share on current shares outstanding, before applying a conservative 0.5x NAV multiple to derive the 62p target.
The broker flags that even after allowing for future equity raises to fund development, a fully diluted NAV of around 82p per share still points to significant upside from current levels.
Operationally, Pitfield is expected to progress through several catalysts in 2026. These include further drilling to upgrade and expand resources at the Thomas and Cosgrove prospects, bulk metallurgical test work, and the delivery of a scoping study in the second half of 2026.
Canaccord believes these milestones should sharpen visibility on process flowsheets, end-product selection and project economics, all of which are key for investor confidence.
Looking further ahead, the broker models first production around 2030, with full run-rate output from 2031. On its assumptions, Pitfield could deliver EBITDA margins of more than 50% once operational, reflecting favourable grades, shallow mineralisation and the potential to produce a premium anatase-grade pigment.
Risks remain material, particularly around funding, process optimisation and titanium pigment pricing, which underpins the “speculative” nature of the rating.
Nevertheless, Canaccord argues that the combination of scale, jurisdictional quality and exposure to strategic metals leaves Empire Metals well placed to re-rate as the project advances”
Less than 8 weeks until MRE upgrade!
DYOR
ML