RE: Re tell me why28 Jun 2024 21:09
Scooby
I'll try and give you a reasoned argument. I will with you because, despite your positivity you do seem to consider other viewpoints objectively, as indeed I try to.
I didn't reply today, but was tuned in, as your disagreement was with others.
I have to admit to being confused by your comment that those who were being negative were doing so at the incertitude and incredulity at the figures from the AGM, and in doing so turning a positive into a negative.
Surely, you are referring to yourself and those in your camp when you say that?
For if anyone is finding disbelief and uncertainty in the figures, it is yourself. I think it was Thaiger who extrapolated a market capitalisation based on the figures from the AGM and a PE ratio of 15 (which seems a sensible figure to me).
The figure quoted was a million pound per site and there will be five sites ( please correct me if I'm wrong on that as I'm going by what other posters have reported from the AGM). Based on that information, that's a turnover of five million a year. On a PE ratio of 15 that gives a Mcap of 75 million (approx 1.75p to 2p a share). These are rough figures, but not that rough.
So where are you getting your 12p per share forecast from?
You can't just pull it out of the air or choose it because that's a previous high.
If you're saying 12p a share then either your predicting a forward PE of 100! Or, your saying Paul Emmitt has got his sums wrong and instead of five sites there are going to be about 32 sites working on a PE of 15.
You can't accuse people of not having credulity in the figures when they are believing those figures to come to their Mcap. Yes, the share price has been up to 12p previously, but without fundamental support, which is why it's back down here. It could go there again. But you can't surely base your investments on anything other than extrapolated figures?
If you're hoping, planning, expecting PHE to be a company like Amazon etc in it's early years, an interrupter in the market place, it's share price here reflective of what happened there, then good luck to you. I'm not going to dismiss that could happen. But please don't accuse those who work from official figures given by the company of treating those same figures with incredulity.
As for why some have doubts about the technology, then Air Products aborted foray into this market some years ago may be a reason why the general market is a tad apprehensive at this stage.