RE: UPDATE3 Aug 2022 14:56
They are in administration, the administrators job is to find enough value to pay off Oxford Finance (or whoever it is), should this be possibly by selling off some IP, or fund raising by other means then that might be OK(ish) for us, if they can't or if all of the IP is wanted then it's not-so-good for us. Oxford triggered this as financial covenants associated with the loan were not being maintained.
Are they still trading? tough question, what is 'trading' for a company like this? Employees are still employed, the last RNS stated they had stopped recruiting patients which is ethical I suppose.
Read one of the other threads for a timeline, mid to late Aug is 8 weeks after this all started.
The Action Group is following the idea that things have not financially been represented well, and therefore there might be a legal avenue to follow, where will this go? no idea. Where's the money going to come from if they win?
I would say that this is not complicated, reading the last few RNS's would give you a fair idea as to what's going on.
What's complicated is what will the outcome be, if the likes of Merck are feeling generous then we might get a reasonable outcome, a loan perhaps based on what they know of the outcome of recent trials, or preferential terms. But why would they? what's in it for them? they could just offer what's needed to clear the loan for the whole company and get a bargain if they know it's delivering a benefit, the administrator might be inclined to agree to that. If they are not sure how well it's working then why would they do anything? A commercial loan might be a better idea, but having broken the deal on one loan who would lend? Admin will cost them cash, and time (& therefore wages), so they'd need more than if this hadn't happened.
I don't know if the administrator has to wait for the 8 weeks or if they could announce a solution earlier, if they can then i'm less inclined to believe in the beneficial solution as that would have happened by now. If they can't then it could go either way. Personally i'm assuming the investment is gone.
The outcome will determine if they delist.