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Started: Nordinvestor, 15 May 2026 03:06
Last post: EarEyeAm, 23 hours ago
16 April 2026
"Submission of Novazza EIA"
11 November 2025
"The approval process is expected to take approximately six months"
So around 16 October 2026 to get approval of the first site EIA.
The second site EIA has to be submitted by 15 July unless they need another extension. As ZEN requested that date, it's going to be close to it, with approval around year end.
"The Company has requested and received an extension until July 15, 2026, to present an EIA for Val Vedello. The extension was necessary due to delays in accessing the site, inter alia, as a result of adverse weather conditions."
Post by mojowolf on Nordnet:
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has just confirmed in the Senate that the government will adopt a new law to reintroduce nuclear power by the summer. This is a "game changer" for Zenith. The statement came today, Wednesday 13 May 2026. The statement came during a question time ("Premier Time") in the Senate, where she addressed Italy's energy future in light of geopolitical instability. Key details from the confirmation: Timeline: She announced that the government will approve the legal framework (a so-called legge delegate) by the summer of 2026. Objective: The aim is to resume nuclear power production in order to strengthen Italy's energy independence and lower costs for industry and households. Technology: It was specified that the focus is on fourth-generation small reactors (SMRs) developed by the private sector, which fits perfectly with Zenith's strategy of supplying the raw material (uranium) for such initiatives. This is the most concrete confirmation yet that Italy is formally scrapping the nuclear ban of 1987 and 2011, giving Zenith a very clear regulatory path forward for its projects.
By the bucket load I would imagine, shortly.
Viz uranium.
New money arriving?
Looks like we have someone selling down. Was going to buy a few this morning, but now sat on my hands. Maybe next support level 5.50? Very tempting at these prices
Started: Nordinvestor, 6 May 2026 19:45
Last post: Nordinvestor, 3 days ago
Latest post from TLOA:
https://x.com/LadyOfAim/status/2054531290498466090
The pieces fall into place β with the depth of Charles Michelβs influence in Tunisia becoming clearer with every new article the Tunisian press publish could he be the man to conduct the rumoured settlement talks between Tunisia and Zenithβ¦π
Targa123 has been filtered. These ridiculous derampers who just want a cheap buy in. Despicable!!
That is a long time to wait at least 5 months. All holders will need masses of patience..
The market also appears to underestimate how damaging Tunisiaβs own acknowledgment of Zenithβs oil ownership could become during proceedings. States involved in ICSID disputes often attempt to maintain arguments centered around regulatory justification, procedural disputes, or ownership ambiguity. Once ownership itself is effectively recognized, the defensive perimeter narrows considerably. The tribunalβs attention naturally shifts toward the consequences of state conduct after that recognition, which is often where compensation exposure becomes materially larger.
There is also an unavoidable macroeconomic reality here. Tunisia desperately needs foreign investment, external financing, and international legitimacy. A highly visible defeat in a major investor-state dispute would send precisely the wrong signal at the worst possible time. This creates a powerful incentive structure that increasingly favors eventual resolution or settlement pressure rather than prolonged confrontation. Governments under financial distress frequently miscalculate early in disputes, only to become more conciliatory once legal exposure, reputational damage, and fiscal weakness begin converging simultaneously.
From an investor perspective, the situation now appears materially different from the environment that existed even twelve months ago. The combination of political destabilization, public discussion of corruption, deteriorating state coherence, and Tunisiaβs own admissions regarding Zenithβs rights creates a significantly stronger backdrop for Zenith Energyβs ICSID case than many initially appreciated.
The key point is this: ICSID tribunals do not operate in a vacuum. They observe state conduct within broader political and economic realities. Tunisia increasingly resembles a government losing control of its internal narrative while simultaneously conceding critical elements of the underlying dispute. That is rarely a position of strength in sovereign arbitration.
In my view, the probability of a favorable outcome for Zenith has increased substantially, and the market still does not appear to fully grasp how strategically important Tunisiaβs recent admissions may ultimately prove to be.
https://www.ilfoglio.it/esteri/2026/05/01/news/si-cerca-il-successore-di-saied-nella-tunisia-senza-soldi-ne-diritti--324363?fbclid=IwY2xjawRucKJleHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETE2QkpMekducEliZnRsQkpoc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHv4WtHyyZtGKfxX4dE0RC9u23THn4Drhw4HaKH62ESbNoBDtvYmg5iJ1JU2k_aem_Oi6ibvrGoIerQOuDkrG6yA
https://www.ilfoglio.it/esteri/2026/05/04/news/in-tunisia-il-post-saied-e-un-terremoto-la-smentita-che-non-lo-e-di-ghribi--389484
London oiler good post
What is unfolding in Tunisia is no longer a temporary political crisis or a cyclical economic downturn. It is the visible fragmentation of a state apparatus that has exhausted both its credibility and its financial capacity. The recent reporting emerging from Italian and regional political circles paints a remarkably consistent picture: Tunisia is entering a dangerous transition period where institutional weakness, internal factionalism, and financial desperation are converging simultaneously. Markets may not yet fully appreciate what this means for outstanding international legal disputes involving the Tunisian state, but the implications are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.
The significance of the recent Zenith Energy announcement cannot be overstated. Tunisiaβs formal recognition of Zenithβs ownership rights over the crude oil production is not merely an operational update. It is a profound legal and strategic admission that directly undermines years of obstruction, contradictory positioning, and regulatory ambiguity from Tunisian authorities. In international arbitration, especially before ICSID, credibility and consistency matter enormously. States rarely appreciate the long-term consequences of partial admissions made under political or economic pressure, but tribunals certainly do.
The timing is extremely importamt, Tunisia is now openly struggling with liquidity constraints, political succession fears surrounding Saied, institutional instability, and increasing international scrutiny over governance and corruption. The country is effectively operating under conditions where maintaining coherent state conduct across ministries and agencies is becoming progressively harder. That matters because ICSID tribunals examine patterns of conduct, state behavior, and the treatment of foreign investors over time. The more fragmented and contradictory the state becomes, the more difficult it becomes to defend allegations of arbitrary treatment, expropriation, or politically motivated interference.
The Italian political analysis now circulating is especially revealing because it reflects growing external recognition that Tunisiaβs governance model is under severe strain. The discussion is no longer about reform. It is about succession, survival, and containment of systemic deterioration. Once international observers begin discussing βpost-Saied Tunisiaβ in serious policy terms, it signals that confidence in the regimeβs durability is already eroding externally. Financial markets, diplomatic institutions, and arbitration circles pay close attention to these shifts long before retail investors do.
Against this backdrop, Zenith Energyβs strategic positioning appears increasingly sophisticated. The appointments of figures such as Charles Michel and Julie Spinelli should not be viewed as symbolic public relations exercises. They represent the construction of serious geopolitical and legal infrastructure aroun
Started: Takeyourbets, 4 May 2026 19:39
Last post: skittish, 5 May 2026
Yes, very well written Aj.
If you listen to IC's interview concerning Ajax from earlier today he explains it much better than AC, and is very good at selling the project in its new format.
Originally a bit suspicious, I'm now a convert!
Apologies all. Will try again.
Thank you Ajmalkhuram, two very helpful posts. just posting this as I didnβt want my previous post to mask yours.
At the same time, people seem to be ignoring whatβs happening elsewhere in the business. The solar side is actually close to monetisation, with Italian projects moving towards sale, which could represent the first real capital event from that division. Thatβs near-term and tangible, not just long-term upside.
Then thereβs Tunisia in the background. Itβs slow and legal-heavy so it doesnβt get much attention day to day, but the recent developments are hard to ignore. The dismissal of Energy Minister Fatma Thabet by President Kais Saied, especially coming right after the Paris arbitration hearing, doesnβt exactly signal stability on the other side. If anything, it points to increasing pressure, and combined with whatβs been coming out in recent updates it suggests Zenithβs position in the ICSID case is strengthening rather than weakening.
Overall, this looks like a company thatβs trying to separate and properly value very different assets instead of keeping everything bundled together and discounted. The market seems to have taken it the other way and assumed added complexity or dilution equals negative, when in reality this is probably the only way the uranium piece ever gets the kind of valuation you see across the sector.
From FS
Bit late to this, but Iβve just watched ACβs interview and gone back through the RNS properly and it pretty much confirms what I initially thought β the market has largely misread this.
The reaction makes very little sense when you actually break down whatβs been announced. If anything, this is a fairly clean strategic move, but the wording of the RNS probably didnβt help and I can see why some people jumped to the wrong conclusion.
The main point is that uranium was never going to sit neatly inside Zenith as it is today. Itβs not oil, gas or solar β itβs mining, which is a completely different business with its own skillset, investor base and valuation metrics. Trying to do that in-house would have been the higher risk option. Instead, theyβve structured it properly by bringing in Ajax, who have actual mining credentials and backing from Appian. Thatβs not a small detail, thatβs exactly the kind of partner youβd expect if the intention is to build something credible rather than just hold licences.
The spin-out itself is also being misunderstood. Zenith isnβt just giving this away β theyβre rolling the asset into Reveille, getting reimbursed in shares for the costs already incurred (Β£350k), and coming in as a cornerstone investor alongside Ajax. They start with 25%, add shares for the historical spend, and have already stated theyβll invest again at IPO, so the intention is clearly to remain the dominant exposure holder. The 29.9% cap is just a listing rule, not a value ceiling. Owning a smaller percentage of something that is properly valued in a specialist uranium market is very different from owning 100% of something the market doesnβt price correctly. Uranium companies are typically valued much higher on the right exchanges, and even small peers are sitting around the $50m mark. That gives some context to the upside potential if this is executed properly.
What matters is where this gets valued. Uranium assets are typically not priced properly inside mixed energy companies, but they are on specialist markets. Even early-stage uranium vehicles with historic resources get valuations that are multiples of what youβd expect elsewhere. So the real question isnβt βwhy reduce the percentageβ, itβs βwhat does that percentage sit inside once listedβ.
And the asset itself isnβt some greenfield punt either. These are Italyβs two largest known uranium deposits with extensive historic work already done β underground development, tens of thousands of metres of drilling, defined resources and existing access. Thatβs a very different starting point compared to a lot of early-stage explorers. On top of that youβve got the broader shift in Italy and Europe back towards nuclear, plus the whole energy security angle post-Ukraine, which gives the project a much stronger macro backdrop than it would have had a few years ago.
So much nonsense getting posted on here the last couple of days.
Iβve been around these boards for years and Iβve seen this exact same cycle play out more times than I can count. People were moaning at 1.5p on ICC2β¦ and we all know what happened next β straight up to 17p in a matter of months. Same script, different day.
Yes, we lost β no point pretending otherwise. But context matters. The whole situation around Cecilia is now being investigated, which says a lot in itself. For me, that reduces the chances of the same kind of mess happening again with ICSID.
Right now weβve simply had a decent run and weβre cooling off β completely normal:
a) The Β£3m raise in the grand scheme, thatβs not exactly huge
b) I think a lot of people have misread the uranium RNS in Norway and donβt fully understand the value there
This just looks like a classic shakeout to me. Weak hands getting flushed, stronger holders stepping in.
Personally, Iβm expecting another move back towards the 17β20p range pre-ICSID. If we win 50p+, Iβll be using this dip for what it is β a chance to add while sentimentβs wobbly.
Each to their own, but Iβve seen this film before.
Started: Candlestick, 4 May 2026 13:28
Last post: NoTimeTouLouse, 5 May 2026
Thank you Ajmalkhuram, two very helpful posts. just posting this as I didnβt want my previous post to mask yours.
Thank you Nordinvestor. Thank you Andrea For taking the trouble to do this interview. And, after what must have been a very difficult week. can you imagine being interrogated for five hours? How difficult it must be when you know you are in the right.
And then, after carefully considering the uranium aspect of the business and doing what does seem to be a very sensible thing by separating it out, then finding the market completely misinterpreting The situation.
I personally found Andreaβs comments very reassuring. ZEN is my Largest holding at 28% of my portfolio. I hope that one day I will make a very good return from this holding. And, Even after eventually taking profit, my current intention is to continue holding a good amount. GLA.
At the end of the interview, Andrea confirms that the Tunisian minister of energy was fired after the return of their delegation from Paris. The rumours were true, it must have been an awful ICSID hearing for Tunisia.
Summary of the Transcript:
Andrea Cattaneo addresses misunderstandings following two recent positive uranium press releases that unexpectedly caused a stock price decline. He aims to clarify the company's strategic approach to uranium.
Uranium is unique β it is fundamentally an energy business (producing the largest share of energy globally) but operates as mining, not oil & gas. This dual nature required careful strategic decisions.
Partnership with Ajax Resources:
-Zenith leveraged its long-standing Italian energy reputation to secure initial approvals.
-For the mining phase (following environmental work), the company needed specialized mining expertise it lacked.
-They chose Ajax Resources PLC (London-listed, successful track record across countries, major shareholder Appian β a large London mining fund) as JV partner for Reveil, the future uranium subsidiary.
-Key reasons: proven success, technical competence, trust (speakerβs son is a long-time Zenith shareholder and Ajax founder, and Italian language/cultural fit for the Lombardy project). The speaker strongly denies nepotism, emphasizing it was the most rational and safe choice for investors.
-Zenith will remain the dominant shareholder and continue investing in Reveille, which will be classified under mining (not energy).
Listing and Valuation Strategy:
-Reveille will list in London (preferred market for uranium alongside Toronto), where rules limit the parent to a maximum 29.9% stake. The goal is to build a much larger company (targeting significantly higher valuation) rather than retaining a bigger percentage of a smaller entity.
-Uranium projects have strong fundamentals:
1. High demand from state utilities and specialized funds.
2. Nuclear plants require long-term, secure fuel supply (cannot be easily switched on/off like gas or coal).
3. Uranium is one of the most valuable minerals, with specialized, high-valuation companies.
-Even small uranium-focused listed companies often carry $50M+ valuations; the speaker sees potential for Reveille in the $50β100M range, which would significantly benefit Zenith shareholders through their substantial ownership.
Recent Performance Note:
Recent Zenith share price gains were mainly driven by solar development and other activities, while the uranium potential has not yet been fully appreciated by the market.
Overall Message: The Ajax partnership and London listing are deliberate, high-quality moves to maximize success and value in a complex, high-potential sector, rather than attempting to develop mining expertise in-house. The speaker expresses strong confidence in substantial upside for Zenith shareholders.
We await further details, but as Trump says, βI donβt like itβ.
Started: Nordinvestor, 4 May 2026 19:13
Last post: skittish, 4 May 2026
The article is really interesting.
The information box states that Charles Michel met with the highest Tunisian authorities in Tunisia on 9th April, 5 days prior to the crucial April 14th letter.
It was that day his appointment to the legal team was disclosed via RNS, although LoA had tweeted several weeks before that he was working for Zenith.
Https://businessnews.com.tn/2026/04/30/zenith-energy-comment-une-vente-de-petrole-contestee-a-conduit-a-un-scandale-detat-et-a-un-limogeage-a-laube/1399335/?fbclid=IwdGRleARlFoFleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZAo2NjI4NTY4Mzc5AAEemV7ESXaInPeBRgAO2BsSCO_IP93dpDAda_YoS-Gnhp4vDlj6_fKcGPLu8RU_aem_lvz_R59CDnnt6BQVWi_ePw
The article describes how a controversial oil sale linked to Zenith Energy in Tunisia has developed into a political scandal. The deal is being questioned and suspected of being mishandled, leading to strong reactions within the state and the dismissal of a high-ranking official.
It's positive for Zenith at least.
Started: Nordinvestor, 30 Apr 2026 18:40
Last post: callit, 3 May 2026
I think he's just holing out the olive branch. It's upto them if they want to take it.
Better to be explicit that settlement is a possibility from our side rather than leave them guessing. Noone wants to make a fool of themselves getting a rejection.
Obviously there is money involved and any settlement if it comes needs to be sufficient financially. We have been put through a lot, so there is a lot to be compensated for.
GLA DYOR
Bloody hell Aim, you're normally Mr. Rampy! Have you had a bang on the head?
A settlement would come with an agreed payment plan with initial cash whereas a judgement will get tied in knots in litigation to get the cash which is why I would take a settlement over a judgement.
Even if we win or Tunisia agree to pay, does it mean they are going to pay promptly or kick the can doen the road?
I think raising a load of cash last week says AC's thoughts on settlement are just hope, if it were any more tangible than hope, he would have skipped raising cash to see if settlement happened in the next month or two, if no settlement offer appeared in 1-2 months, whether acceptable or not, he could raised funds if needed then. Clearly he didn't believe enough in the possibility of settlement to wait a month or two, so yes, it's nothing more than hope that Tunisia comes to it's senses, which it has so far not done in 3 years and wanted the claims thrown out by the court.
3pm ...6.50...-1.00 (-13.33%) ...Bid: 6.00...Ask: 7.00...Spread: 1.00 (16.667%)
Market Cap: Β£46.46m
Placing at 6.9p = Nok 0.87 placing there as well .
Still not available for trading a buy on main broker platform .
The gamble two top ups in ISA in July have done well went up to 9.7p two weeks ago .
Thanks Ripley.. I note:
The one analyst offering a 12 month price target expects Zenith Energy Ltd share price to rise to 31.00 in the next year from the last price of 7.75.
9.50...1.75 (22.58%) ...Bid: 9.00...Ask: 10.00...Spread: 1.00 (11.111%)
Market Cap: Β£61.67m.
Zenith Energy Ltd, up 9.7% at 8.5p, adds former Belgium prime minister to board.
Half the rise shown here in the spread .
https://markets.investorschronicle.co.uk/data/equities/tearsheet/summary?s=ZEN:LSE
Share Price:..7.75...1.75 (29.17%) ...Bid: 7.50...Ask: 8.00...Spread: 0.50 (6.667%)
Market Cap: Β£50.31m
Zenith Energy Ltd, up 28% at 7.67p, 12-month range 17.50p-2.22p. Shares in the Calgary, Canada-based oil company, which has interests in Italy, Tunisia and the US, continue to rise as the price of Brent oil climbs in response to the conflict in the Middle East. Brent oil was trading marginally lower at USD102.63 a barrel on Tuesday morning from USD102.83 on Monday evening. The price has jumped from around USD70.75 at the end of February. Zenith shares have more than doubled from 3.45p a month ago.
Share Price:....6.75... 0.85 (16.50%) ...Bid: 6.50...Ask: 7.00...Spread: 0.50 (7.692%)
Market Cap: Β£38.95m.
Nice rise again today .
A little pull back after my last look 11th March when up 28% .(9.091% Spread )
Maybe a good think broker blocked me from adding on main acc , making me top up in ISA in July .
Started: Botham, 29 Apr 2026 22:22
Last post: Ajmalkhuram, 30 Apr 2026
Reveille could also have the tungsten asset too taken from the Ajax forum:
UNGSTEN INTO REVEILLEToday 12:42
I think Iβve just worked out whatβs going on here after putting two and two together.
Ajax sets up and backs Reveille as a European vehicle focused on historical assets with existing infrastructure, then shortly after announces the Sardinia antimony and tungsten project through Minerva. When you actually read the RNS details, itβs basically the same playbook β past-producing mine, strong legacy data, near-term potential, and aligned with EU critical raw materials policy.
Theyβve even said the Minerva asset could be spun into a listed natural resources vehicle. Reveille already exists, is Ajax-backed, and is heading to market, so it feels like the obvious place for it.
If thatβs the case, youβre looking at uranium in Lombardy sitting alongside antimony, tungsten and gold in Sardinia under one vehicle, all tied into the same European supply chain and energy security theme.
Could be wrong, but it looks like this is whatβs happening.
EAREYEAM
Youβre both looking at this far too simplistically.
Calling it β25% for peanutsβ ignores the actual structure of the deal.
Zenith isnβt just handing over 25% of a producing asset β theyβre:
Spinning out a non-core, early-stage uranium project
Getting 25% equity + IPO upside
Being reimbursed Β£350k in shares at IPO price
Retaining the largest exposure post-IPO with ability to add more
Thatβs not a fire sale β itβs risk-sharing + value
Looks to me like it started off by Ippolito presumably with intent to go into AJAX but gave to ZEN because Canoel Italia had an established track record and stood a better change of getting the licence approved.
It was probably always the intention for ZEN to split the project with AJAX.
"Mr. Ippolito Ingo Cattaneo, who holds Italian nationality and first conceived and initiated the Val Vedello and Novazza applications, will serve as a Director of FEI."
"Canoel Italia, a subsidiary of Zenith Energy, is regarded as a strong applicant due to its decade-long record of responsible energy-production activities in Italy, supported by proven technical and financial capability, formally recognised by MASE. These credentials strengthen the credibility of the applications and support a positive outcome in the permitting process."
https://www.lse.co.uk/rns/ZEN/application-for-italy8217s-largest-uranium-deposits-4f6oy8q9ng6423e.html
Whatever way anyone spins this. Ajax has acquired 25% of the company for peanuts. Sorry, ACs sons company has acquired 25% of the company for peanuts.
They are a speculative exploration company startup. Hardly brings operational cadence. MCAP 9m, this will help them far more than any value they will bring or there 200k.
Should have asked shareholders. Sure there would have been a cohort willing to stump up 200k for 25% π€£
KyleSnyder,
1) They could have waited 6 months more for the Arbitration win and fully fund the Uranium themselves. They wouldn't need cash from anywhere else if they won even a quarter of the claims value.
2) They could have waited for some of the Solar to be sold, something AC said they already have enquiries for a big chunk, then use some of that money to get the initial exploration work completed, then IPO and make a profit on top of keeping 35%
There's no doubt several other options they could have chosen, what they chose to do wasn't the only option.
Started: EarEyeAm, 29 Apr 2026 22:21
Last post: AndyBhoy, 30 Apr 2026
Yeah this has been a crappy week, raise money earlier than stated and use some of it to give away a chunk of the potential Uranium business they announced with a big fanfare and sounded promising, From reading the RNS today it now doesn't appear to benefit the majority of shareholders anywhere near as much as was previously alluded... not impressed.. I'm in profit so I'm out of this now.
Zenith never seems to quite deliver what its alluded to do. I'm confident of a higher sp, but im not setting my expectations as high.
How to screw zenith shareholders. And that was after stating uranium shares on euronext were at $50m without licences. What a con.
Surely the other 50% is the IPO shares to raise funds, not Dad and son getting 25% each.
Ippolito is very good comes across much better than is Dad, worth looking into Ajax Resources.
One thing I'm not too pleased about is this:
"Both Zenith and Ajax have each agreed to invest an initial Β£200,000 in Reveille, each securing a 25% interest in the issued share capital."
So we get 25% of the Uranium project, but AC and Ippolito Ingo Cattaneo, presumably a relative get 25% to themselves for a Β£200k investment. That seems way too good a deal for them based on the value of the project. We just raised a load of cash, we should have invested Β£400k ourselves and got 50%, instead we have them carving off 25% for themselves.
EXPERTS!!
The Company is pleased to announce the appointment of TWCOG LLP ("TWCOG"), a leading advisory firm with offices in London and Singapore. TWCOG was founded by Mr. Anthony Way, who has participated in more than sixty international disputes in the oil and gas industry and has provided expert testimony in over fifty arbitration cases. His extensive experience includes involvement in multiple ICSID claims concerning the expropriation of assets by States from oil and gas companies.
TWGOG has worked closely with the Company's independent reserves evaluator, Chapman Hydrogen and Petroleum Engineering Ltd. ("Chapman"), a professional engineering and reserves evaluating firm based in Calgary, the epicentre of the energy industry in Canada, with more than 50 years of experience in the oil and gas industry.
Quantification of Damages
TWGOG, having reviewed previous damage quantification, has reappraised the claimed amount under the ICSID Arbitration, which as last announced on October 3, 2024, by the Company, was previously calculated in the amount of US$503 million.
A new total claimed amount, considering various additional breaches and obstructions, has been assessed in the total amount of US$572.65 million
Nobody will see the calculations for legal reasons.
The figures WERE NOT calculated by Zenith.
The figures were calculated by experts from the Oil industry and ICSID approved loss adjusters. We can be 100% assured that every penny claimed is valid and, not a penny more than we are entitled to has been claimed
Https://analystgroup.se/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Analyst-Group-Zenith-Final.pdf
"The claims have been calculated by two internationally recognized firms: Orginasation Conseil Audit (OCA)
and Chapman Hydrogen and Petroleum Engineering Ltd. (Chapman). OCA is a leading accountancy firm
specializing in quantum analysis for arbitration proceedings. OCA has been tasked with providing a precise
assessment of the financial damages incurred. Chapman has conducted a detailed review of the technical
and operational aspects of the concessions. The firm is a Calgary-based engineering and reserves
evaluation firm with over 50 years of expertise in the oil and gas sector."
"It should be a lot higher"
So what are the calculations?
Have you seen them?
Has anyone seen them?
Started: Nordinvestor, 29 Apr 2026 01:41
Last post: Nordinvestor, 29 Apr 2026
Https://x.com/LadyOfAim/status/2049405440715288652
TLOA:
This was the Tunisian hurricane I was talking about πͺοΈπΉπ³
Less than a week after the court case, the Minister of Hydrocarbons has BEEN FIREDβ¦ thatβs how badly it went.
Now we wait. Results due in the coming months π΅π°π
Here is an answer
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Tunisian_constitutional_referendum
It is very sad to see a proud people being governed this way. My time in Tunisia was during its 50 year independence celebrations. The people where highly educated and ambitious for the future of their country.
It all seems so crazy! I believe that ZEN is a good company. Tunisia would have benefited from their presence. But, because of their actions, it is likely to cost them instead. GLA.
Thanks for this Nordinvestor, very interesting!!
I said in the past that a decision would have very serious implications and financial damage for Tunisia and that they would have to pay the cost using their foreign currency reserves, these are confirmed in the article.
I thought Tunisia would eventually realise how bad the situation for them actually was and they would try to cut the impact by making early settlement of say 50% of what was being claimed, but unfortunately Tunisia stuck it's head in the sand and hoped the storm would blow over. Trying to get the case dismissed by throwing in last minute curve balls was tried, but never going to fool our legal team or the ICSID. So it's no wonder we see heads rolling in Tunisia.
And as I said, the Tunisia legal team were completely out of their depth, also something confirmed in the article.
Tunisia can still afford to pay the fine even if it's $1bn by the time ICSID have added Punitive Damages and interest compounded monthly for 3 years. It shouldn't get near a Sovereign Default being declared or seizing assets.
"As of early March 2026, Tunisia's foreign exchange reserves stand at over 25.4 billion Tunisian dinars (approx. $8-9 billion USD), providing about 107 days of import cover. Reserves have seen a slight increase from 2025 levels due to rising worker remittances and tourism revenues, though they face pressure from external debt servicing and high import costs."
Started: Florida, 29 Apr 2026 08:23
Last post: Paulo123, 29 Apr 2026
The Minister of Hydrocarbons being fired? No surprise there. What's shocking is that the Tunisian authorities took so long to realize the concession ownership and oil inventory claims were legit. Now, with Robbana in a vandalized state for over a year, it's a wonder they managed to produce any oil at all. And don't even get me started on the unsold barrels, stuck due to obstructionist tactics. This is a rerate setup waiting to happen, and I'll be keeping a close eye on progress, not just valuation theories.
LADYOFAIM
This was the Tunisian hurricane I was talking about πͺοΈπΉπ³
Less than a week after the court case, the Minister of Hydrocarbons has BEEN FIREDβ¦ thatβs how badly it went.
Now we wait. Results due in the coming months π΅π°π
Good luck to them getting another job.
Employer: So you want to flip burgers for us, what experience have you had?
Minister: I oversaw the department that got sued for $572m.
Employer: We'll let you know....
GLA
Still here guys fully loaded in Zenith........the minister of hydrocarbons got sacked today as revealed by the Lad of aim........looks good for us and bad for Tunisia!........DYOR
That is an interesting development and probably refers to the feedback from the hearings and the confidence in Tunisia so adds more confidence to the success. Ignoring the story, the fact the minister has gone is telling and as long as we are not relating things that have no connection (which I think is doubtful) then possibly Tunisia will be minded to talk to Charles Michel about a settlement.
Personally I would prefer a settlement, if we could get 50% and re-open the two concessions they now concede we own that would be a better result in my mind as a settlement will come with cash on settlement and possibly a payment plan - but all agreed - and no more share issuance. If its a judgement then you have the whole mess of enforcement.
I was annoyed yesterday at the lack of PI participation but then reflected - forgetting history, which is the past - it was a 1.6% discount and so might as well buy from the open market rather than participate if that was the intention. Just want to get ICSID sorted before anymore shares are issued.
But .... I would love Uranium to be sorted before the settlement, otherwise that value add may get lost in the weeds. Get Uranium sorted then settlement would be my ideal scenario I think.
Started: Florida, 28 Apr 2026 11:09
Last post: skittish, 28 Apr 2026
Whilst a tad annoyed at the early fundraise I don't think it had anything to do with funding the court case.
That would have been costed months ago. It was listed for 5 days, lasted for 5 days and barring a few last minute, fairly trivial extras I expect Zenith would have paid the bill weeks ago.
Apart from boosting cash, coming the working day after the court hearing, I see this as more of a signal to Tunisia.
"We can raise large sums when we want and at a decent price."
So don't think you can drag this out and expect Zen to cave for want of cash.
So I think the timing of the cash raise was directed at Tunisia.
But we are not a 1 trick pony anymore. Litigation financing wouldn`t have funded the solar or uranium.
I hate dilution too but given what happened with ICC2 I think it`s wise to put the company into robust financial health at this level because if ICSID all fell through it`s unlikely they could raise at the same level. I would support PI`s having a chance to be included though but I`m skint right now till this or another share gives me a payout.
GLA DYOR
"It's understandable to think that devaluation is a step backward, but really, 3.4% is nothing within the grand scheme of things. We have just passed through a milestone point of the companies history. A claim of $570m, with first signs looking good, this could not be any better. Not only that, within the next few months we have an excellent chance of winning the annulment, ICC-2 for $130m."
In isolation 3.4% doesn't sound so bad but in reality it is 58% over 18 months and nearer 65% if the new convertible loan and existing warrants are factored in, so a huge drop.
Zenith had been applauded for financing their own legal costs instead of going the litigation funding route - in hindsight the chunk of the pie a litigation funder may have taken would have been much lower than the dilution caused by the multiple placements, loans and warrants.
Also a heads up; the ICC2 arbitration claims are all included in ICSID so there is no financial upside for a successful ICC2 annulment .
I'm quite happy with the situation as it stands, certainly nothing to whinge about. It's pretty obvious why the fund raise happened earlier than expected. As far as I recall, AC had two buyers for the rig back in December, and I remember hearing something from one of his interviews that he fully expected at least one of them to be a serious buyer with the rig sold by Christmas. Since December, and in addition, ex Prime Ministerial legal services were hired, adding to the already significantly high legal cost.
it's understandable to think that devaluation is a step backward, but really, 3.4% is nothing within the grand scheme of things. We have just passed through a milestone point of the companies history. A claim of $570m, with first signs looking good, this could not be any better. Not only that, within the next few months we have an excellent chance of winning the annulment, ICC-2 for $130m. More importantly, the annulment, if won, brings with it a speeded up legal process. No more four year waiting, the whole process could be over withing 3 to 6 months. That, in theory, could be done and dusted before we receive the result of ICSID.
Then we have the Uranium Exploration Licence. Apparently expected between Mid June and mid July. This should bring a considerable increase to the share price, all looking very good. DYOR Good luck
1. no raise until at least june - dropping one early - annoying
2. not opening it up to the larger shareholder base - just becoming frustrating
3. trying to make it out it's great because it's at a higher price than the last - just save it, trying coat the **** on the spoon with sugar is just insulting
I will keep my hands in my pockets now till we see sub 5p. In years to come this could be a great earner but lots of funding will be needed before that happens I fear.
Started: K3VMC, 28 Apr 2026 07:49
Last post: K3VMC, 28 Apr 2026
I will be selling. I can no longer believe a word this man says.
Luke 16:10 "He who is faithful in what is least is faithful also in much; and he who is unjust in what is least is unjust also in much."
No more fund raising until June, at least.
I also see confused messaging over the convertible loan, this has the potential of creating another 28 million shares. If the arbitration is successful then that could end up as a cost of Β£15m to raise Β£2m.
If you were really confident in a successful outcome of ICSID why wouldn't you raise short term funding at say 30% interest rates? and at the convertible loan cost any solar profits will be absorbed many times - so why use this loan money on the solar development.
I guess there is a really urgent need for cash - my back of a beermat calculation of the ICSID hearing was Β£100,000 per day.
AC has ramped up interviews in the last week or so telling everyone how great the future is, the problem is that the future is always next month, next year etc.. and I share the frustration with this raise. I wrote to Zenith earlier in the year expressing my frustration that PIs were not allowed to participate in the raise and got a bland respond saying they took that comment on board and would consider it. The RNS answered the question, we will just go to institutions and allow AC to maintain / increase shareholdings. AC has also been explaining how they have a lot of interest in the portfolio to sell some on, again not coming to fruition (including the restart of gas production and sale of a rig - items that seem to never get updated on in his interviews).
I do not see Tunisia settling any time soon (if at all) as they will be trying to understand their position and post hearing submissions, lets see if we get a result on the annulment and uranium - they would be near term catalysts in my opinion - solar is just a little 'meh' at the moment, buying up land pre-permit and no funds to build.
It is a difficult situation - at the end of the day, the SP has the potential to be 5x to 10x the current SP before then end of the year even based on a partial award and there is value in the Uranium spin off if it is so whilst I think the ICSID case has a better than 50% chance of success which should give a return for all PIs and there is value elsewhere it is just leaving a bad taste in the mouth that this raise has come two months before AC said it would be needed.
I am holding still as I see the potential, even if that potential has been diluted today, how many PIs feel slightly trapped I wonder as selling is an immediate thought process when companies go down this road but with the potential here most are holding on.
Time will tell - GLA
Crowfoot, indeed..
A placing at this stage does not signal to the share holders that a offer is coming any time soon.
Elegance - you are still waiting for someone to say this is a great price!
Yaryla, I couldnβt agree more, I was waiting for someone to say that this was a great price, itβs not, itβs total dilution and the share price has been walked down over the past week to accommodate this placing.
I do agree, Iβm disappointed with AC, when stating no placing until at least June, trust has been broken here.
Yes, they now own 10%, but thatβs via a salary thatβs funded by dilution of private investors shareholdings.
Started: Nordinvestor, 27 Apr 2026 19:20
Last post: Targa123, 27 Apr 2026
RNS Fundraise
"some weeks" of back and forth before the Arbitration Panel go off to deliberate. Result in the second half of 2026, in the past they said summer (June to August) and by year end, so it a bit vague on when we'll know. I hope at the end of the back and forth that the ICSID advise of their expected timeline, so we have something more concrete to go by.
We have produce at the end of this hearing in Friday night a very sophisticated very strong very articulated full of facts and theories. So as well of the respect of the law of the application of the law specifically the law governing this treaty that in a in a normal world would give us an undoubted full victory.
So that is a satisfaction that I have as a CEO of the company. I would say in front of my shareholders or so part of it that are in Scandinavia that we have successfully managed to make together beyond expectation a a composition of different famous lawyers.
Started: Ajmalkhuram, 27 Apr 2026 12:42
Last post: Nordinvestor, 27 Apr 2026
Mohammad Ammar is on the Tunisian side. I'm beginning to think that he really has some inside sources.
2 hours before the most recent interview with the CEO was published, Mohammad Ammar posted on X that
"Cattaneo sat enduring an interrogation lasting nearly 5 hours."
Cattaneo later confirms in the interview that "the week has been extremely full of emotions and events because there have been
interrogation, my interrogation which lasted five hours and then the interrogation of the representative of the Republic of Tunisia and the result of it is that our case was as well helped but by the depositions and especially by obviously the position of the counterparty".
PAUL1DEANO
I am hoping that is a Tunisian quote!
βWe started last week confident. But the American lawyer wasn't up to the level we expected. And now?β
Who is we?
Translated by x
ICSID is the talk of the town today.
Just this morning I spoke with someone who was in court last week β it wasn't easy, I swear.
Cattaneo sat enduring an interrogation lasting nearly 5 hours.
Long and heated questions β but there wasnβt even a clear turning point.
The worst moment was Rashid Ben Dali's testimony about the overlap between his roles in ETAP and DGH.
The beast confessed that he was director in DGH and ETAP at the same time, meaning he used his position in DGH to transfer Zenith's licenses to his company.
This interference raises a bunch of serious questions about governance and how decisions get made in asset transfersβit reeks of corruption, not independence.
We started last week confident. But the American lawyer wasn't up to the level we expected. And now? Not even a dog would wanna tell the court which way to lean. I swear to God.
Started: Ajmalkhuram, 27 Apr 2026 09:58
Last post: EarEyeAm, 27 Apr 2026
"An excellent week in Paris with Prof. Thomas Clay, Charles Michel, Julie Spinelli, Ben Juratowitch, Matthieu Gregoire, and Simon Le Wita. We are confident in our legal position, and following proceedings that clearly demonstrated the Tunisian authoritiesβ arbitrary conduct, we have full confidence in ICSID recognising the merit of the claims."
We know from what Tunisia said in their submission to ICSID, they want the claim dismissed at this hearing. They were not indicating any interest in early settlement.
Seems from the Zenith X post that it's unlikely the claims will be dismissed. So the Arbitration Panel will go away to assess the claims, determine who is right under the Law, determine if the amount claimed is justified, then make their decision.
I can't see it going well at all for Tunisia. They seem to be treating this like children arguing over who's toy it is, so amateur it begars belief.
Callit. there's no solar income yet, its all just lumps of dirt full of good ideas. Rain tomorrow, it's forecast for the S/E anyway so enjoy the sun with a G&T whilst you can.
Excellent news!
Sun is shining and that just makes me think of the money rolling in for Zenith.
GLA DYOR
Https://x.com/ zenithenergyltd/status/2048682059246256201?s=46
Same old... and down we go again. Where is aim with his positivity (ramping) gone?
Started: Nordinvestor, 25 Apr 2026 01:25
Last post: Nordinvestor, 25 Apr 2026
Started: Ajmalkhuram, 23 Apr 2026 09:40
Last post: Nordinvestor, 24 Apr 2026
It is all happening in Paris!
Charles Michel met there with Macron at the Elysee Palace on Wednesday, at an awards ceremony.
Lots of back slapping and smiley faces.
Maybe the conversation went something like - "What you doing now mate?" "Well I've just joined a law firm, and there's these geezers in that old colony of yours, you know Tunisia.... ... ... and its one of the biggest arbitrations in the World, and its being heard right now, just down the road, in Paris!!"
Or not as the case may be.
But we have some big hitters on board. This week in Paris.
She just posted a photo in Paris. She called every tbh right except icc2 which proved to be dodgy and Cecilia now being investigated. I give her benefit of the doubt. She just posted this
ICSID arbitration ended 1.5hrs ago. βοΈ It's a stunning day in Paris, but my sources say the Tunisian team looked like they'd just walked into a hurricane. πͺοΈπ³
Stop spreading the BS of that fantasist. It's the same guy who said that a few days before the ICC2 ruling said that his insiders told him that ZEN had won.
Ignore him/her
ICSID proceedings at the World Bank in Paris this week π«π·βunexpected venue, but Iβll take it. My contacts in the French system run deeper than the US side.
From what I hear, the operation is far more professional under ICSID than it was with the ICC and more importantly, things seem to be breaking Zenith's way so far. Early signs? ππ₯
Started: NoTimeTouLouse, 24 Apr 2026 17:30
Last post: NoTimeTouLouse, 24 Apr 2026
Very hard to be patient. Do hope this turns out well for ZEN and all holders. Will be checking in for any news. GLA.
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