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Well if gold is correlated with uncertainty, then political uncerainty and rudderless leadership is here. Boris has bonked himself too much and been bonked. Biden is lost in a haze of his own making while democracy in the US unravels ...
First, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.) said he would block a bipartisan bill aimed at enhancing the U.S.’ ability to compete with China unless Democrats abandon a separate prescription drug, climate and tax bill.
Second, the Supreme Court said the Environmental Protection Agency couldn’t enact sweeping rules covering greenhouse gas emissions, a decision likely to circumscribe federal authority in a range of fields.
Third, news emerged that President Biden might be reaching a decision to waive some of former President Donald Trump’s tariffs on China.
Fourth, Donald will be back as President!?
And we have the Russian-Nato fiasco in Ukraine, and a sad shooting in Japan. A glut of unsold homes in Sydney and Melbourne forcing sellers to discount their asking prices and creating bargains for buyers willing to take the risk of prices falling further, as the largest housing market correction in at least 40 years accelerates.
Crypto is quaking and shaking, and people know not where to go.
China is loosening up and its share market is charging ahead,
The changing of the guard is surely happening, and the talking heads are talking their respective heads off, and creating more uncertainty
Thanks goodness for gold..."we find a positive and strong relationship between gold returns and the uncertainty composite indicator when the uncertainty attains its highest level and under normal gold market scenario. This suggests that holding a diversified portfolio composed of gold could help protecting against exposure to uncertain risks."
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1806/1806.07623.pdf
best of luck to us all
enjoy your weekend, and get the long game sorted out.
the gnome
"Donald will be back as President!?"
That would probably the worse thing to happen for world peace for decades since Trump is basically in Putin's pocket.
The conditions that we have brought upon ourselves in the world all point to gold going up significantly however the gold price has the most economically evil cartel of the US Fed/Treasury & the ECB to contend with.
They will continue to pull the strings of the BIS, gold traders, bullion banks, etc. to try desperately to ensure that the gold price does not beak out as they are fully aware that a significant rise in the price of gold is a demonstration of the destruction of the value of the key “reserve” currencies rather than any change in the intrinsic value of the gold itself.
They will not be able to maintain this charade forever but I fear they will be able to string it out for quite some time to come.
Does anyone really believe that the US/NATO pushed Russia into the invasion of Ukraine for any other reason than destabilising Russia? One of their significant motivations to destabilise Russia is to try to prevent/postpone the push by Russia & China to establish a pan Asian gold backed currency which would almost certainly lead to a major rerating of the $US gold price.
The US hegemony is coming to its end (which I for one welcome) but they will fight tooth & nail to maintain it & unfortunately may well end up driving us to WW3 - they have come close previously when not in such dire circumstances.
what utter rubbish
"Does anyone really believe that the US/NATO pushed Russia into the invasion of Ukraine for any other reason than destabilising Russia? '
Only gullible twits taken in by the online bots following the Kremlin's propaganda believe that Russia was somehow pushed into an invasion. Come on. What kind of moron believes it's not Russia's fault when another Russian rocket decimates an apartment building killing innocent civilians.
Then again, people believe anything when it's online or told to them by lying politicians, even the obviously untrue like that the Earth is Flat, Covid-19 wasn't real or that Brexit would somehow be good of the UK.
Spoonington you are spot on ,if need be they will ignore Basel3 which comes in in deceber 22, which will affect the PMs been sold as paper false promises, by the Cartel in the US.
Oh lordy... we will be discussing alien invasions coming next.... LOL
Non farm payrolls came in hotter than estimates... could be real heads winds for gold now with steady unemployment rate; Fed has the mandate for a big hike (this month).
Hi Gayster, It's hard to understand how anyone could believe that NATO/US pushed Russia into invading Ukraine, but then Boris and Farage fooled the gullible and ill informed that Brexit was an oven ready deal which would bring benefits, although now the truth is ever more apparent by the day!
Putin was losing support at home so he creates a diversion by causing a war and then sets about trying to convince the ordinary Russians that he is protecting them from the evil West.
When leaders lose popularity they often resort to such tactics, rather like Thatcher did to win the the next election in the eighties!
https://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/brief-history-falklands-war-180976349/
37 years ago, During the Falklands War did the EU help us NO they were openly sending Weapons to our AGGRESSOR never forget that” – Facebook post, 31 January 2020
This is not true. The EC (the predecessor of the EU) applied an arms embargo and an import ban on Argentina
https://fullfact.org/online/european-community-supported-britain-during-falklands-war/
The war Falklands war cost Britain about £2.8bn (£9.5bn in present value) and the islands’ defence costs upwards of £60m annually. In 2012 it was estimated that British taxpayers paid more than £20,000 per islander for defence alone, and approximately one-third of the population worked for the government. Unlike other former colonies such as Gibraltar, relations with the nearest nation-state are thin. Though living in a technically autonomous British overseas territory, the islanders are wholly dependent on Britain!
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/apr/07/british-sovereignty-falklands-absurd-imperial-hangover-argentina
Brexit some facts
https://fullfact.org/europe/brexit-transition-period-economic-cost-public-opinion/
Russian Invasion of Ukraine the Facts
The war in Ukraine was fomented by disinformation and information warfare will be part of the battle.
https://fullfact.org/blog/2022/feb/ukraine-disinformation/
https://fullfact.org/news/ukraine/
“Russia is destroying biolabs.”
There are biological research labs in Ukraine that partner with the U.S. Department of Defence, but they do not do weapons research; they do disease monitoring. Russia is not bombing those labs. This narrative has been seeded by Russian propaganda outlets over the past two weeks, including the foreign ministry. The Russian state media outlet TASS published documents that they claimed prove NATO and the US were developing biological weapons at labs in Ukraine.
https://www.logically.ai/articles/a-round-up-of-misinformation-narratives-of-the-russian-invasion-of-ukraine
Bad information ruins lives. We’re a team of independent fact checkers and campaigners who find, expose and counter the harm it does.
https://fullfact.org/about/
The Invaders a fantastic series I first watched it as a child when we used to visit my Auntie & Uncle in Bournemouth,
Uncle Ernie was the commander of an MTB during WW2 http://www.mtb102.com/
After the war Uncle Ernie took over his fathers garage and Rover dealership in Bournemouth and later he took on an Alpha Romeo franchise, he said putting his foot down in the Alpha reminded him of opening up the throttles on his MTB!
Uncle Ernie also inherited his fathers Vincent Black Shadow which he used to take me for rides on, usually along the cliff top road sometimes wearing just our shorts and Stadium crash helmets and goggles, Uncle Ernie usually had a fag on as he rode the Vincent!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SidMiINt1Q0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H87_qzgUESo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c5XiGX35tow
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BcKJogxhKX0
Fantastic smell from the Vincent of 5 star petrol and Red X, still luv that smell even now!
But this is the TV series, and in colour!
The Invaders Unseen Pilot with Documentary Compilation Season 1 ( 1967 to 1968 TV series)
Roy Thinnes stars as architect David Vincent, who accidentally learns of a secret alien invasion already underway and thereafter travels from place to place attempting to foil the aliens' plots and warn a sceptical populace of the danger.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwmaLI72gJU
The invasion of Ukraine was prompted by NATO coercing Ukraine to become a member - an aggressive & expansionary act which NATO & US advisors had counselled against for years.
Under NATO’s charter the admission of new members has to lead to increased security for both the new member & NATO as a whole - how did that work out?
Perhaps you are the one being taken in by US/NATO propaganda and would be well served by looking at both sides of the conflicts points of view instead of blindly accepting what you are spoon fed by western media?
Spoonington, methinks you are reading too much from Comrade Putin's crib notes here. Vlad was just looking for an excuse to invade. He wanted to link up the Crimea with the Donbas enclosure and this was the ticket. He just didnt factor in the extreme defense being put up by the Ukraine forced. Anything that bloodies the Ruskies nose is a good thing
Agree with you oh that T21A
the BBC world Service in the early hours provided more current affairs informative than we hear on the mainstream media during through the day, listen to the World Service News
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w172ykq474pq28g newsroom 0300am 1500 on the scale
Now on Yahoo-
Vladimir Putin has told Kyiv it should quickly accept Moscow's terms or brace for the worst, adding ominously that Russia has barely started its action in Ukraine.
https://uk.yahoo.com/news/ukraine-war-vladimir-putins-warning-012500635.html
The West really needs to either decide that its just going to mess about with sanctions and send Ukraine a few bits and pieces of military kit, neither of which Putin cares a jot about and he will carry on flattening Ukraine, in which case the West should advise Ukraine to negotiate for peace and live their lives the best way they can, possibly offer thenm visa's to live and work in the UK.
Or the Western allies should stop prevaricating and should stand up to Putin the Bully by sending enough military forces and equipment to kick his but out of Ukraine and make it clear enough is enough!
The Western Allies should also look at ways to support the Russian opposition with a view to ousting Putin and his cronies.
Snce the US,UK and allies abandoned Afghanistan they have army ,naval and air force personal all with not much to do, well if you ain't prepared to use them them, why spend money on them?
Sancton's wont stop Putin, that bugger stated that he is prepared to let the world starve and cut off fuel supplies whilst in the meantime Ukraine will become a pile of rubble!
Then waht is Mr Putin suddenly going to be nice to the West, of course not!
Putin has illegally blockaded Ukrainian grain to the West and is stealing it to sell to his cronies! So the Western allies should send a task force of ships and break the blockade.
The UK Royal Navy has two admirals on big money for every ship, for Christ sakes what are we paying those buggers for?
And last but not least if Boris isn't willing to leave Downing Street then send in the police and drag the bugger out and if the Tories haven't got anyone up to the job without gong through this farce of internal party electioneering then form a coalition government ,or call a general election so as to get get on with running the country and dealing with the aftermath of Brexit, the breakdown of public services and the cost of living crisis!
Hi Spoonington
Mr Putin has armies of KGB whose job it is to spread his Kremlin rhetoric across the social media platforms and via the state controlled mainstream media of his allies .
https://fullfact.org/news/ukraine/
https://fullfact.org/economy/ukraine-supply-shortages/
Responding to a new criminal investigation launched against Vladimir Kara-Murza, a member of the political opposition and critic of the Kremlin, simply for sharing information about the actions of the Russian military in Ukraine – dubbed “fake news” by the authorities – Marie Struthers, Amnesty International’s Director for Eastern Europe and Central Asia, said:
https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2022/04/russia-prominent-opposition-activist-faces-up-to-15-years-in-prison-for-sharing-information-about-the-war-in-ukraine/
https://www.csce.gov/international-impact/political-prisoners-russia
Russia invaded Ukraine to secure the oil and gas, nothing to do with NATO. Ukraine have large untapped reserves, nearly as much as Norway. What do you think would happen to Russia if Europe started buying most of its oil and gas from Ukraine? I believe oil and gas is something like 40% of Russia's GDP. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eo6w5R6Uo8Y
You responded 6 minutes after my post, couldn't have looked at much of the link I posted. And gave 0 reasons for your response.
Yes Tibbs, and that is so different to how the media works in western nations isn’t it.
There is a revolving door between the White House & other government media offices & the so called independent media, if you dare to step outside the government mandated narrative you are blocked from participating in media events, look what has been done to Julian Assange, because he revealed abhorrent war crimes committed by the US he has essentially been denied his basic right to freedom & indeed his life.
I really think it would be wise for you to take a more open eyed & balanced view of how the world is being run instead of just accepting the standard line that the West is good & stands for freedom and anyone or any nation that does not kowtow to the West’s diktats is evil & needs to be curtailed or destroyed.
Examine history & the behaviour of the Western nations - colonialism, slavery, robbery of the natural resources of weaker developing nations - maybe you then you will moderate your one eyed attitude to the so called “rules based system”.
Hi Spoonington,
I don't just accept the rhetoric of the west which is why I refer to sites such as the www.fullfact.org which is a registered charity and politically impartial.
I am ashamed of what the UK did in the name of nationalism in the past, for instance the it was the right wing Tory attitudes and persecution by the police of the Irish workers who were on strike for seven weeks after being locked out by their bosses on mass just because that wanted to join a trade union to try to gain for better terms of employment and working conditions
After seven weeks the Irish workers were starved into returning to work, but the organisers of pro union meetings were beaten up so by the police so badly some died in custody, this brought about the formation of vigilante groups to protect those at meetings who were being persecuted by the police , these groups were the start of the IRA.
That said the UK government turned a blind eye to the unionists import of 5000 rifles fast firing rifles from the USA and the UL government actually supplied the unionists with weapons.
By comparison the Irish nationalist only had very few single shot rifles to defend themselves.
https://www.britishpathe.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Press-Release-Revolution-in-Colour.pdf
The size of the British Empire – the amount of land and number of people under British rule – changed in size over the years. At its height in 1922, it was the largest empire the world had ever seen, covering around a quarter of Earth’s land surface and ruling over 458 million people.
https://www.natgeokids.com/uk/discover/history/general-history/british-empire-facts/
In the past he UK has nothing to be proud of it has robbed pillaged, polluted, persecuted, enslaved other nations just to benefit its own ruling and privileged classes, whilst its own ordinary people were expected to endure appalling working and living conditions, starvation and little or no eduction and healthcare!
But that said so did many of the other countries in Europe and elsewhere, some were even worse!
But times have changed and the majority of civilised countries have realised that their past behaviour was unacceptable and so have tried to make amends
Unfortunately Mr Putin behaves like Hitler, Stalin and many other dictators and this is not acceptable especially in the 21st century.
https://english.nv.ua/nation/russian-troops-burn-crops-in-ukraine-with-incendiary-rounds-50255187.html
Wake up Spooninton Mr Putiin is a lair, a dictator and really not a very nice person !
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-62106446
On Monday, 10 Russian soldiers came to set up a base on the farm, leaving their tanks in barns, and more soldiers arrived later. But after overnight shelling by Ukraine’s military at Kherson airport, the Russian troops left on Wednesday morning.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2
Wake up Spooninton Mr Putiin is a narcissistic liar, a dictator and really not a very nice person!
The sources you quote are as one-eyed as you.
If you are foolish enough to believe that just because they may be registered charities & claim impartiality that they really are it is pointless trying to convince you otherwise.
You automatically state that all information released by Russian sources is lies spread by government sources yet you also automatically accept that all information released by the sources you favour is the truth, the whole truth & nothing but the truth.
I feel it is you who need to wake up, you will find that in most instances a very significant portion of the funding your impartial charities receive comes from CIA front groups, foundations backed by parties such as the Koch brothers and other such protectors of the truth.
I fear we are straying from the true purpose of this forum & accordingly shall defer to your wisdom & withdraw from this exchange - enjoy the rest of your weekend :)
Spoonington,
Here is a challenge for you why not contact the "Fullfact" or indeed any other of the independent source checkers with your accusations on funding, they are required to disclose their funding sources.
https://fullfact.org/about/funding/
So where are your independent sources to confirm that the Russian Kremlin media machine is telling the truth?
You love your dog Spoonington , well I support several animal rescue charities who are working in Ukraine and recently Russian troops have fired on and destroyed several rescue centres with the animals inside, in one instance 60 dogs and their carers either injured or killed , I would post the link but the images far too distressing
There are none so blind as those who will not see and I am afraid you fall into that category!
I have German, and Polish friends who have witnessed personally what is happening in Ukraine.
Now because you are unable to substantiate your side of the debate with any credible evidence hen you have decided to throw your rattle out of the pram!
Also I was unaware that you had been appointed a forum moderator?