RE: Worrying23 Feb 2020 19:38
Speedy -
Agreed, GGP is still an AIM listed explorer - and therefore has a risk premium attached by default.
However, on the plus side, GGP clearly has a valuable prospect which is being proven up by a much larger and more experienced gold producer via a JV. Therefore the usual issues concerning explorer costs (getting gold out of the ground, additional drilling expenses, mine construction costs, and eventual valuation of asset) no longer apply here - as these are being undertaken & paid for by our JV partner... it has to be said... with a great deal of enthusiasm and urgency!
Unlike the previous debacle with Newmont... Newcrest have already committed extra funding, clearly need a new mine to feed Telfer as soon as possible and show every confidence in Havieron... having broadcast this to their own shareholders in all their most recent market statements. Having already waxed lyrical about the truly excellent drill results so far - unless they got their initial findings completely wrong... I fail to see how the mine would not proceed or become profitable for both parties.
The only downside risks I see currently are - delay due to operational issues and / or corporate red tape (just a question of further patience needed by investors) or the very real possibility (IMHO) of a full & or partial buy-out of GGP assets before the company is able to realise its full value potential. Even then, I would expect the SP to be much higher than it is now.
Compared to most of the other value plays I have been following on AIM for the past few years (across a range of market sectors) I agree with you: I don't see anything as exciting either!
GL A :-)