Reflections28 Aug 2020 19:26
It is always good to hear from Wimbo and Gillie who used to be daily contributors years ago when hopes were high and with every reason at the time. Just when it looked as though Kibo would take off, the creation of hydroelectric power from the Stiegler Dam captured Magufuli’s sole interest as the answer to his country’s demand for energy. Kibo was abruptly dropped. No one had any criticism of LC until then. For years Kibo had just its Tanzanian project which included Haneti with its gold and nickel prospects. This was hived off into Katoro and in the process Kibo got some funding. LC secured our projects in Mozambique and Botswana where the knowledge gained by Kibo could be applied to good effect. Meanwhile the World Bank etc now refuse to finance any coal fired energy generation, and the anti fossil fuel sentiment has obviously hit Kibo. That said coal fired power stations are still being built because they are cheap, and a country with plenty of carbon credits is not so hindered especially as the Chinese are still financing them. LC has established excellent credentials with the Chinese. Stiegler Dam is fraught with problems. The environmental damage it will cause could seriously affect the Rufifi River delta, sedimentation could adversely hamper the dam’s function, and the water supply is variable with prolonged dry periods. Tanzania may yet realise that Kibo is the best option for it. Meanwhile Mozambique looks increasingly likely as a huge boost to Kibo. Over recent times I have thought that folk have failed to give LC credit. He is portrayed by some as just milking Kibo to get a pay cheque. That I think is most unlikely. Were it the case the big shareholders would long since have given him the heave ho. Africa has always been a difficult area to operate. LC knows the ropes and despite views expressed about him, he has quietly and determinedly persisted. Kibo was always going to be a long game. It is just the case that it has been a longer game than anyone expected. Yes, my holding has been diluted but I am still holding on like Wimbo still in the hopes that LC will deliver. Naive? May be but we shall see.