TEK: 35p is the recovery - what drives value beyond that21 Jan 2026 19:28
For me, ~35p represents a full recovery valuation, not blue-sky optimism.
That level broadly reflects: • a completed multi-year technical reversal
• TEK trading closer to a sensible % of NAV
• the market re-rating TEK as a maturing portfolio, not a cash-hungry incubator
Going beyond 35p requires a different phase altogether.
What could drive value higher over time
1. Guident IPO execution (not just listing)
A clean IPO that holds valuation and proves liquidity changes TEK structurally - especially if the convertible is repaid or becomes a liquid, mark-to-market asset.
2. Portfolio independence becomes obvious
When Lucyd, MicroSalt, GenIP and Guident are clearly funding themselves, TEK stops being valued as a lifeline and starts being valued as a capital recycler.
3. Capital discipline is demonstrated
Even one sustained SP rise without a heavily discounted placing would reset sentiment more than any presentation ever could.
4. A second monetisation event
A sale, dividend upstream or partial exit from any portfolio company post-Guident would show the model is repeatable - not a one-off.
What could cap valuation
• Guident underwhelming post-IPO
• A return to deep discounted placings
• Prolonged delays causing narrative fatigue
Bottom line
35p is the recovery.
Above that requires execution, discipline and proof, not promises.
That’s why my approach is to manage risk into strength, reassess at key levels, and only hold longer if the structure and fundamentals continue to confirm