RE: Potted summary23 Jan 2020 18:40
Jimzi - not sure I agree but then still struggling to understand this fully.
On the loan I see it that we have issued 14 million shares for a theoretical 1.75m pounds. The amount we really get are spread over 12 months and depend on the share price each month. We could get much lower if the price stays low and whilst they can’t short, they have 14 million shares to create a big overhang drag.
For the loan to repay the CULN, whilst that can be repaid each month, PF could instead keep the cash and issue a CLN instead. In theory we could’ve swapped a 2.25m CULN for 3m of CLN’s ? Highly unlikely but I wouldn’t trust PF not to go down that route at some point.
Of the initial 1.5 m drawdown how much has gone towards paying back the CULNs and how much held back for working capital. I guess we won’t get to know that. I assume that none of the CULN has been converted at the 10p price as we’d have to issue the shares and announce accordingly.
My fear is that this has put a lot of stock in the hands of these institutions and potential control of the SP for at least the next 12 months. Whilst they can benefit from an increase in SP history tells me with these sort of arrangements that the SP tends to be worked down as low as possible - look at our past dealings with Darwin.
I may have read some of this wrong, not clear how this 12 monthly payments gets calculated when they talk about the difference between the 10 day price and the benchmark 13.625p figure.
It still looks to me that, worse case scenario, this could cost more than the old CULN’s but the whole detail is very opaque and depends on what happens in the next few months.
As ever a lot will also depend on how much PF has to announce that may lift the SP . Tema doesn’t look like the hotly anticipated catalyst so can we expect something extra ?