RE: What is going on? An explanation.30 Nov 2021 19:07
Evening Chaps and Chapesses, and thank you for your kind words.
The reason I come on here is that occasionally there is actually useful information or insight that is helpful in understanding the current situation but sadly that is often drowned out by the noise of halfwits screaming inanities (present company on this thread so far excepted!)
I'd pretty much agree with what has been said below and thank you @Mountainous/Bigtrader/Bonkers for taking the time to post about it.
I do tire of the accusation that "MMs are keeping the price low/ have an order to fill etc"
Market making is a cut throat business and if one firm can offer a marginally better price that the other, then they get the business and make the margin. You can see this from the "Payment for Order Flow" in the US and the reason that Citadel and Robinhood 'work so closely'.
That said, there are plenty of bad faith actors out there and they are the hedge funds - most are fairly vanilla but a few have the whiff of Gordon Gekko about them.
So although I might be wrong about a leak from the Court House to a Ontario hedge fund, I'll keep that as my personal conspiracy theory for now, as it sustains me through the bear market. The fact that Cineplex has dropped as well means little - yesterday @smallweiner (or whatever his name) misunderstood that simply because one market participant has - let's just say superior knowledge to avoid a writ - it doesn't mean that the whole market does. So Cineplex would fall with the Covid worries and a player could short Cineworld and at the same time go long Cineplex without impacting that price too much, although in the event of a Court case loss I would expect 'world to fall farther than 'plex would rise because of the quantum involved and the general attitude of markets to retail.
One thought to throw into the mix - when looking at the short positions on the Ortex website - they very sensibly distinguish between % short and % short of the free float. I assume that the Greidinger family isn't loaning out its shares and others may have no truck with that sort of thing, then the free-float may be considerably smaller than we think.
Ortex has it gusting up to c20% of their calculation of the free float but it could well be considerably higher than that.
That's obviously not GME or AMC levels, but at some point, that could result in a very painful short squeeze that has proper traction.
Anyway, enough from me.
I would say "Cine to the Moon!" but we all know that the Moon landings were faked and done on a soundstage in downtown Burbank, so I won't.