Spice Merchant22 Jan 2017 16:18
I didn't look at the video just read your excellent explanation. In the USA some people have been confusing rig count with Shale production. It is not, there were an awful lot of start ups in the USA and a lot of those smaller firms gave gone bust. As I understand it, the actual production of Shale gas/oil is steadily increasing in the USA, and they are looking ot export some of it. I don't think it matters too much what the world price for Shale gas will be to the UK, it a strategic fuel and the UK will want to have its own home product. At the moment, because we are still in the EU, as I understand it, the government could not ease the path for Shale companies because that would infringe EU competition laws, but once we are free of the EU, they could assist Shale by maninpulating Corporation Tax, for example. I am sure that the USA would do likewise if necesary to protect their in-house supplies. Thus, in the long run it probably won't matter if oil drops to $30 pbrl, Shale will survive.