RE: Interesting19 Sep 2019 22:28
Gents,
Regarding takeover conjecture, please could I throw a couple of points into the ring.
1. Are we talking about friendly or hostile here. It is apparent to me that GH is forging good relationships with other mining companies; not necessarily just Newcrest. Do you recall the ‘not at this time’ comment by Newmont. The Ggp board also are likely to have a good relationship with Rio. As such, any move from these companies would likely be friendly would it not.
2. If a hostile move is made, who is it likely to be, and there are a number of defense mechanisms that can be employed.
3. This suggests that any move IF one was to come would be from one of the above companies. If so, why? Ggp are, in my view, doing an unbelievable job in their position as an exploration company. As such, the major companies must surely want them in play to continue searching for the next Havieron (be it BH, FT, even from one of the many anomalies in EG). If that was the case, and the move was cost effective for the acquiring company, would not a vertical merger be relevant so as to keep Ggp in action as an exploration wing of the acquiring company. Hands would obviously be tied.
4. My view, however, is this. (I am by no means well versed in this topic). Ggp’s strategic aims are to grow SH value by acquiring targets and then proving up the same ( alone or x JV) to the point where the individual project ( or others if such have been offered as first refusal to a JV partner) becomes attractive to that company (or other co) and an agreement to sell is reached. This ensures that the acquiring company obtain only the projects they want (and not in areas in which they have no interest as would happen in a full acquisition case) and also leaves Ggp doing the sterling work in identifying and developing new projects. I have not read anything that indicates that the Ggp board are looking to be bought out but plenty that makes clear they intend growing as a hugely successful and independent concern.
I fervently hope Ggp are not taken over. I believe shareholders will be best served by Ggp continuing as an independent company and doing what they do best. Just look at what they have achieved with Havieron and who knows what else is to come.
UR