Member Info for Trinityman

Wyndrum – Re your post @ 12.41 08/02:

On Wednesday 12th January the poster ‘Grant1’ kindly supplied the following link to verified figures showing that respiratory Phase 3 trials have an 81% chance of reaching commercial production (page 29).

https://www.bioindustry.org/uploads/assets/2552f01e-5b03-47ca-9794ba0d428a6cf5/Opportunity-on-your-doorstep-A-guide-to-investing-in-the-UK-biotech-sector.pdf

Bearing in mind this figure includes trials that have been stopped, completed trials such as Synairgen’s will give a higher percentage figure.
Also, these trials use drugs with potential side-effects, whereas Synairgen have developed a synthetic version of a naturally occurring protein suspended in a ph neutral mist to deliver their treatment, which is safe and free from harmful side effects.
They have now also worked out the specific target group of patients that are most likely to benefit, so the percentage figure of success should now logically rise to 90% or higher.

Phase 3 results don’t have to equal the top line result of 79% phase 2 achieved, as drugs showing half this efficacy routinely go into commercial production.

Add to this the recent pointer from the smart poster ‘Ducati2’ who informed us that one of main players involved in the Activ2 trials covertly gave SNG a vote of confidence without actually mentioning the brand. There were over 70 drugs that fell by the wayside during this trial, but Synairgen was the ONLY broad spectrum antiviral that made it to completion.

Add to this the following comment supplied by the ever reliable poster ‘JoeyDiamond’ back in April last year from the USA’s NIH director Francis Collins: ‘The US government has similar ambitions. Antivirals for coronaviruses are task number one’.

Given the current share price is below £2, the risk/ reward ratio make this a highly attractive investment. Polygon’s activity over the past year only reinforce this view. Bear in mind this company employ a team of professional analysts before making investment decisions.

I hope this satisfies your ‘DYOR’ criteria. I have more, but am short on time, having just finished work.
Also, the term ‘binary’ is misleading to some, as it suggests a 50/50 chance of success. This hardly applies to this SNG at this stage of development.

PI research is not ‘fanciful’ as you put it, but factual if you have the time and patience to sift through the dross and pick out the research that matters, much of it provided by a handful of posters, to who many on here, including me, are very grateful.
I took a step back and made my decision two years ago, given the overwhelming evidence ‘for’, with zero research papers anywhere to be found ‘against’ – The pathetic whinging of the Oxford clown Horby being the only naysayer to date.

I agree this isn’t officially over the line yet, but it’s only a matter of time. You don’t have to be ‘hopeful’, you just have to join the dots from the evidence provided over the last 15 years.

Best not to to worry about the daily/ monthly price movements, focus on the fundamental reasons why you invested in the first place and be confident in your original decision, don't be swayed by what you may read on here or other boards.

As an example, Synairgen's share price dropped from 62p down to 32p as investors got the jitters about the lack of news on the run up to their upcoming phase 2 results in 2020.
When the results were finally released the share price shot up to 246p at one point.

I just saw the drop as an opportunity to buy more, as researcher has done with AGL. I would follow suit but am 100% invested with no spare cash at present.

ATVB
T

My first post for 18 months, although I have read this board every day since, preferring not to post due to what I refer to as ‘chat fatigue’. I imagine I am not alone.

I joined the large ‘silent majority’ who referred to this board for updates and research who became increasingly disenchanted by the increasing number of flawed characters on here that ‘talk a lot, but say nothing’.

The daily multiple posters, pseudo scientists, bickerers, infighters and as always the so-called influencers with their well worn and easily recognisable, transparent daily ‘drip, drip’ technique designed to slowly chip away at investor confidence.

My ‘filter’ button has been working overtime over the past year, all the above are now empty green boxes to me, making the page cleaner and easier to scroll through after a long working day. You should try it - it's very therapeutic!

I thought I’d return to the fray at this pivotal time to repost fundamental information I have saved from the board from the more reliable, intelligent and informed posters, most of these have now dropped away for the same reason. If you sit on the fence for a year or so you will notice that many useful posts are methodically drowned out by the usual suspects. I’ll start posting again when time permits…for now, back to work.

T

My first post on this board, although I have been a holder for just over a year now and have read every post since. Ironic that I was diagnosed with prostate cancer (luckily only a few cells and very slow growing) shortly after investing in AGL.

The prostate biopsy is particularly invasive, quite painful and uses valuable human resources, equipment, time, space and manpower. I was surprised to be told while laying on the treatment table that the twelve hollow needles about to be used didn’t cover the entire area of the prostate, meaning cancer can be missed in approx. 20% of cases – not a pleasant thought. The interim PSA blood test conducted every four months is not particularly accurate either and throws up many false results, leading to sleepless nights and undue worry.

Looking to the future, men living with my condition may well be able to avoid repeat biopsies and receive a more accurate diagnosis, replaced by a simple blood draw thanks to Angle’s technology. The advantages of Parsortix eventually being utilised in mainstream healthcare systems across the globe are enormous for prostate cancer clinicians and administrators.
The true global annual cost savings across all cancer types in the future are virtually incalcuable.

I don’t think the investing public have truly grasped the enormity of what may about to occur with this share – How can you put a price on this?

I know the key word here is ‘potential’, but I believe I have done as much research on this as any individual retail investor could, so am I missing something? I watched in horror as the POLX share price collapsed after their FDA rejection, so I am fully aware this isn’t a ‘done deal’ yet, but I can’t find a reason not to be highly optimistic at this stage.

I’m struggling to understand why this share is still so overlooked by the majority of investors. I’m equally overweight in Angle and Synairgen, both have outstanding prospects and both are close to being largely de-risked this quarter. I realise SNG is a covid related share and AGL isn’t, but even so the prospects here seem just as bright.
Synairgen has approx. 150 posts a day, but this page can go days without comment with only the sight of tumbleweed blowing across the board. I strongly suspect this won’t be the case for much longer, the herd will surely arrive sooner rather than later.

Before this happens I’d like to thank the small group of very knowledgeable posters for providing such high quality dedicated research and analysis – much appreciated by the ‘silent following’. I believe your patience will be rewarded many times over in due course.

May I ask for views on what represents ‘fair value’ to long term holders when Parsortix finally moves into commercial production when a major pharma approaches with a takeover offer?

ATVB T

Seaboy - I'm usually fairly articulate when writing posts, but this time I simply don't have the words to describe my gratitude for the information you provided to us through the night and also for the work you and your colleagues are doing for us all.

We used to have a senior clinician called 'WedMee' post on here some time ago who used to update us with news of what was actually happening on the frontline, but left presumably due to the high level of dross posted on here.

Your post stands out easily as the best of the year so far and I know I speak on behalf of many when I say we hope you continue to provide such vital 'real time' information to concerned retail investors. I say 'concerned', as many of us are still at a complete loss as to why this drug has not been granted EUA.

Sincerely wishing you and the rest of your staff nothing but the best and hope you come out of this unscathed.

T

Leroy -
A good place to start is 'babypips'. Go to their home page and click on 'education'. Their course is free and takes you from complete beginner to advanced trader, if you want to go that far.
Always remember that trading signals and charts should always take second place to fundamental analysis and actual news.
Hope this helps and best of luck on your investing journey.

Long term holders may notice that I haven't posted here for quite some time.
Along with many others, I have been put off by those who seem think it's ok to post multiple time a day seven days a week, posting dross, bickering and/or posturing.
I thought these boards were meant to share information and insight along with encouragement or to exercise caution - Obviously I was wrong.

I scan this board every day, although my screen is now mainly full of green boxes, although I would like to take this opportunity to offer thanks to (in no particular order) to Mikep, Tommy D, T L Williams, Spinnaker, Ghia, Joey D, Mellie etc for keeping me sane and also to the excellent Schrow, who always posts sensible comments at the appropriate time.

I'm still fully invested and fully committed , as I have been since March 2020.
My mantra has always been: Believe in the science, believe in the board, have patience and the rewards will be handsome.
T.

Mellie 11.07:

Thanks for publishing that list, I was going to do so, but it would have made my original post way too long.

I can see the theory behind not closing down small to medium size businesses in the USA, which are the backbone of their economy in many less densely populated states, hoping people will maintain social distancing and wear masks instead of locking everything down, but in practise it just doesn't work and S.Dakota is living proof of that.

Human behaviour during this pandemic has shown that large swathes of the general public cannot be trusted to behave in line with scientific guidance.

I wonder if the UK gov have maintained total silence on SNG for similar reasons, waiting until sufficient stocks were in place, thinking that if the general public knew there was a treatment available then the majority would immediately expect to return to normal activities ASAP. This would have put enormous political pressure on the gov back in July 2020.

ATVB

During the first half of 2020 I couldn’t understand why the USA covid figures were so high, given their extensive pharma/ healthcare resources. Having now realised that most policy decisions are taken at state level by individual governors, it became increasingly obvious that many of the republican governors were simply putting their state economies before the health of their citizens.

Over the last five days there have been several notes on this board regarding the worrying covid figures coming out of South Dakota. Governor Kristi Noem is the dream republican politician. Image conscious America find her immensely attractive, articulate, but most of all convincing. She has the wholesome family portrait, deep rooted links with the local farming communities and at only fifty years of age, is considered young in political terms and has been hotly tipped to run for republican leader against Trump in the run up to the next election.

I think this woman is absolutely bonkers and am of the opinion that she and those who share her views will indirectly do more for the SNG share price than any company promotional material/ roadshow/ Richard Marsden You Tube interview ever could. The clip below goes a long way to explaining why things are not going to improve in the USA any time soon.

At last week’s national republican rally in Florida, she chillingly received a standing ovation for stating she based her 2020/2021 covid policy on the original principles laid down by the founding fathers 245 (non-pandemic) years ago and was loudly applauded for saying ‘Dr Fauci got it wrong - a lot’.

Noem and state governors who share her views are making Synairgen’s treatment more vital by the day, therefore indirectly doing wonders for the future share price. It is no exaggeration to say those in power who share her views are unknowingly helping to make many SNG shareholders millionaires/ multi-millionaires before the end of this year.

The short video below shows her delusional responses to a grilling on the USA tv programme ‘Face The Nation’ this week, claiming her state is ‘doing well’.
Those with a solely monetary interest will love her, but if you or those around you have suffered in any way from covid you will despise her – take a look.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6bEIWYxI7O0

Copy + Pasted the following highly relevant post just in from the NCYT board:

'Potentially coming in USA according to medical experts:
A top US health official has been warning of a "potential fourth surge of cases", as highly contagious coronavirus variants start to spread through the country.
US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Director Rochelle Walensky said she was concerned about recent data which showed about 70,000 new cases a day last week, a "very high number".
Taken from BBC'.

This trend across the globe can only strengthen the case for holding/ increasing shares in SNG.
This isn't ramping, it's just grim reality. Good for us financially, but dreadful for humanity as a whole.

As I have posted many times since July, when the dust has settled questions will be asked and there will be a price to pay.
Tens of thousands of needless deaths, it's the closest you will get to sending troops over the top as cannon fodder in WW1.

I realise phase 2 was way too small a sample to go straight to commercial production under normal circumstances, but these times are anything but normal - What would the UK gov had to lose granting EUA in August/ Sept?
Even in the unlikely event of poor patient response, no one would have blamed them for trying.

ATVB

Sharesting -

Always good to see you posting, love the 'hippo' analogy, totally agree with your thoughts.

I haven't posted much lately, as there's not much more to add at this stage, simply sat on the fence enjoying the main action start to unfold after 11 months in this share.

With our small m/cap and unique global product, I can't see anything other than an early takeover/ bidding war taking place in March/ April.
It's hard to envisage the American pharmas letting 'lil ol Synairgen go into production under their own name for long, if at all.
As a reminder, some time ago this board voted on 'Synterferon' as the trade name.
Will we see this on the packaging - Unlikely.

In the mean time, the mms will try every trick in the book to take shares from individual retail investors over the next few weeks.

We've come this far, so don't let them go now people, hang onto the comet's tail and enjoy the ride!

ATVB

CT - Totally agree with all that, but we still haven't got to the core of this situation.

I'm ok with putting it to one side for the good of SNG's progress, but I don't like loose ends.
Hopefully they will be tied up in the correct manner eventually, but not in a timely manner imho.

ATVB

Joey D -

Thanks for sharing that VERY cool fact - that is 'joining up the dots' par excellence.

Reassuring to know one of the 'head honchos' in the USA is fully on board with the concept inhaled interferon.

Meanwhile back in the UK the silence is deafening, as another thousand are left to routinely perish.

I know our recently returned 'headmaster' has requested radio silence regarding the stance taken by Horby,
but with each passing day we are left with no elaboration as to the reason why - Any chance of putting any flesh on the bones P?

ATVB

Having had three posts removed last evening, all regarding the loss of Shaun P and the increasing influence of the self appointed ‘hero’ on here, I have decided to leave this board.

We are supposed to be living in a democracy, but apparently not. If your views don’t fit the current narrative, then be careful what you say and how you say it, you are being monitored.

Steve5859 Yesterday @ 19.20 yesterday– A bit too subtle for the moderators, so you slip through the net, well done that man.

£54? Good luck with that, especially with this looming on the horizon.

https://www.goldmoney.com/research/the-rapidly-failing-eu

C'mon everyone, cheer up, we're all going to be minted soon, so don't let one rogue poster spoil the build up to our collective success.

Here's some investing/ money/ broker jokes to change the mood on here - Enjoy the day - We're one step closer!

I had my credit card stolen the other day but I didn’t bother to report it because the thief is spending less than my wife.

There’s a way of transferring funds that is even faster than electronic banking. It’s called marriage.

The stock market is even worse than a divorce. You lose 50% of your net worth, but still keep the wife.

The market is weird. Every time one guy sells, another one buys, and they both think they’re smart.

The market may be bad, but I slept like a baby last night. I woke up every hour and cried.

My Favourite one liner:

It was so cold this morning I saw my stockbroker with his hands in his own pockets.

:)

This board has hit a new low today and having been here almost a year, that is really saying something.

A difference of opinion is one thing, a direct slur on an individual’s character delivered from behind the safety of a keyboard is another thing entirely.

Integrity is defined as: ‘The quality of being honest and having strong moral principles’.

I think the recipient of the post in question may well be considering early retirement from this board and who could blame him? A cornerstone may be dislodged.

Certain posters appear to have lost sight of the main reason for joining this discussion board in the first place i.e. making money.
Individuals who look for and disclose lower/ higher entry/ exit points or those who leave and then return at a later date, in order to maximise profits are now classed as lacking integrity, rainbow chasers and woodwork crawlers etc.

I congratulate anyone who bought a day return ticket on the ODX bus – Well done that shareholder (not me) and welcome back.
Those that don’t display blind company allegiance and a long term ‘buy and hold’ strategy are now frowned upon by a small core of regular contributors, hardly the way to maximise profits.

NCYT transformed my capital base inside twelve months , I'm very grateful for that and I’m 100% behind the cause, currently holding strong and waiting for compelling news, but remember, there’s no shareholder loyalty bonus at the end, just profit or loss, so there’s no harm in maximising profit when the opportunities arise from time to time.

I made a New Year’s resolution to stop reading/ contributing to these boards when I leave NCYT and SNG, this afternoon’s offerings have made me realise I made the right decision.

PS. Alwayslate7 - Welcome to the pit - good first post - This is a brilliant company that will surely put you into the blue before the summer.

ATVB to all holders.

OakK @ 18.49:

My thoughts exactly and to emphasise your point further:

In 1973 Martin Cooper made the first subscription based mobile phone call – decentralised the telephone.

In 1981 Adam Osborne invented the laptop – decentralised computing.

In 2020 Graham Mullis announces Novacyt have invented a portable rapid testing machine that can be used away from central labs in a variety of settings, along with a full suite of portable covid tests – decentralising clinical diagnostics.

I really don’t think the majority of healthcare workers, let alone the investing or general public realise the magnitude of what Novacyt have achieved amid this pandemic.

Fully integrated testing solutions (not limited to covid) – No debt – 1 million+ profit per day – Selling to 130 countries – First mover advantage – British made – Expanding nationwide employee base.

Doubt this will be £8 much longer.

ATVB

Andy -

Just caught up with the board after some time away, so sorry for the late reply, so you might not even read this.

May I add my sincere best wishes to you and your family, it was truly refreshing to read such an honest and open post. I know you will have winced when you pressed the ‘post’ button last evening, wondering what type of response you would get, but this is an excellent board in the main, with many genuine and honest people like yourself.

Rest assured, you did the right thing, it’s good to offload, even remotely from a keyboard.

You will know individuals are not allowed to offer specific financial advice on a board of this nature, but when you cash out of SNG and may wish to re-invest profits elsewhere, there’s no harm taking a look at safer options that offer slow, steady profits and even a dividend – You only have to ask when the time is right, there are good people on here that can point you in the right direction. Again, I stress this wouldn’t be advice, only information.

In the meantime, watch the action unfold here over the next couple of months, it should be ermm – interesting.

As regards today - Kudos and thanks to dafad, kevkan, chris toffer, docaneeka, cr1909, mact4, tommyd19, oxford12, meelie,fruits, harchris etc for your excellent contributions and especially to Hanoihank for post of the day so far.

A privilege and an education to read this page today.

ATVB

Troublesome -

Noted - Posts shorter - message ends...:)

ATVB

...the mms will see to that.

ATVB

Just caught up with the board after a day away and it’s a pleasure to read an absolutely fascinating and intelligent discussion on here last night and this morning regarding individual investment styles.

If I may add, those of us who prefer to dip in and out on occasions when the chance arises are still long term holders.
When you have been invested in a share like this several months, it is quite possible to identify with a certain degree of certainty, exit and entry points that allow you to either build up your holding or make a cheeky weekly profit.

Doing this has allowed me to move profits elsewhere, whilst keeping a holding here. I see this as sensible money management, lockdown has given me more time to hone my skills in this respect.

I realise this draws negative comments from those who prefer to buy and hold. Lack of understanding of how markets work is usually the main reason, note the ‘we’ve just had a good RNS and the price is falling, I don’t understand’ posts, however individuals who post simply to ‘show off’ their success are rightly rounded upon.

There is another board where they jokingly refer to this style of investing as doing the ‘hokey cokey’, borrowing from the lines of the song ‘in out, in out’.

Over the last year, I have noticed more and more investors are trying their hand at this, as they have more time on their hands, due to lockdown or out of sheer necessity, due to loss of income, redundancy etc. This can lead to an increase in short bursts of price volatility in some instances.

I remember one poster in the summer stating he had doubled his investment in NCYT simply by aggressively selling and buying back his entire holding several times in a few short months. I doubt I could ever be that bold, but selling some and returning a day or so later has worked well for me in the past and again after the latest RNS.
I could never be a day trader, as personally I find that intensely boring, but you can often predict the sell off between 3-4.30 some days, watching these guys skim a margin of profit.

I totally respect an individual’s decision to buy and hold, but respect should work both ways. This company is so unique, everyone will make good money in the long run. I have never come across an AIM share with such strong fundamentals and I doubt I’ll see another as good in my lifetime.

Leaving the PR wrangle to one side, the chief has always acted with integrity and dignity in these difficult times and should be applauded for doing so, we are lucky to have him steering the ship.

In addition, this board is very, very fortunate to have posters such as Van V and Shaun P for reference when the need arises. You’d normally have to pay top dollar for the information Mr P provides for us free - Philanthropy at it’s best.

I believe this board will soon settle down as everyone moves ‘into the blue’. The trolls and de ramping will die down, as institutional holders gradually take a firmer hold, the MMs will