RE: Sells15 Dec 2024 18:49
The issue is whether the UK is going into a recessionary collapse and 2 months at 0.1% is not good, it is not a 2008 like crash which the utility performance is trying to imply. The last time NG behaved like this was a repo like crisis in the USA banking sector and the FED stepped in. There is genuine concern of losses not being declared on loans held by USA banks. The retail commercial losses on property are horrific and not included in the New York FED bank loan accounts which accounts for 28% of all their loan activity. USA FED is making huge losses on its balance sheet.
In the end, it implies more central bank money printing, which then makes NG a safe haven buy stock. The future dividend pay outs by most analysts are up. Only one analyst has suddenly halved NG earnings and it implies they are now running short and may not even be declaring it. Unless the analyst in question identifies the logic of their assumptions it leaves little for PIs to go on.
I have averaged well below the chart gap in the charts. The gaps to 990p are still present and 90% of all gaps would close within two weeks. I have plenty of cash to continue averaging down but waiting to see what happens next week. The issue is not about NG itself is how I see it. The issue is more of a macro market event.