RE: Production14 Jul 2022 11:09
In the best of times the company was hitting 20,000 GEOs but they were having to pay off a lot of debts. They had a year or so of being a cash cow and the share price hit 160p. The share price per ounce they were getting at the peak was around $1600 to $1700 per ounce. In H1 they got an average of $1850 on what they sold although its 75% of the good days.
The company resources in copper in the ground is absolutely huge. The market value on resource to reserve conversion at 50% is a minima of $1.1B on copper alone below the current market price. Taking 1.5% as in the ground price gives $16.5M. Zafar in the ground is at least $6M and the company has $21M in cash. Existing production also has value with at least 4 years at 50,000 plus GEO equivalent with an in the ground value of $40M just for reserves. $83.5M is basically in the ground and cash in hand which constitutes around 62p in the share price. For a company to be trading just 33% above what is in the ground price is a very low valuation.
At some point gold is going to rally back up fast as M1 is still going up in USA and its historical correlation with gold should be at $2020 per ounce. We have seen distortions like this before, but eventually they have to correct. This is not the 1970's and 1980's where gold was overvalued against USA M1. It is now 15% under its historical M1 correlation value. USA interest rate hikes are not slowing M1 in circulation and so far it has done the opposite.