RE: 20191 Jan 2019 10:42
Trying to predict share prices confounds the experts so looking at the fundamentals of Polyhalite and it’s
Potential is probably a better indicator of shareholder value and returns. Worldwide fertiliser commodity markets are supported by several factors, worldwide population growth, because of this global demand for fertiliser will reach 320 million tonnes by 2020 from 285 million tonnes back in 2015. Demand will continue to rise as the demand for food from a growing population increases. Poly4 has already proved in trials how a multi nutrient fertiliser can have a positive effect on plant health leading to higher yields especially in drought conditions by making nutrients available at the optimum time. Exchange rates and shipping costs will have a direct and indirect effect on future profitability of Sirius. Forecasts based on these fundamentals can enable analysts to forecast future profitability and therefore predict future value and translate this to the share price. These fundamentals Translated to the sp things are looking very positive. Why the share is languishing at the current levels is purely down to uncertainty regarding St2 funding, once this is finalised then we should see a substantial rise. If you look where the share price was three years ago and where it is now , the project has been massively de risked over that period , planning, construction progress, St1 financing etc, yet the share price remains pretty much unchanged. IMHO the share price is too low and does not reflect progress to date and once St2 funding has been finalised and agreed then we will be rewarded. £1 Party next Christmas fingers crossed.