2019 Forecast26 Jan 2020 17:03
My honest unbiased forecast (as a current holder) of full year revenues:
H1 results:
H1 revenue was £5.6m : Consisting: Managed £2.5m (of which £1.9m was lunghi & £0.6m relates to Keyguard etc), and Tech £3.1m,
O/bk at end June was £3.3m majority being the $3.48m Asia contract (say £2.7m of which $0.6m say £0.4m relates to 2yr maintenance), so £0.6m separate from Asia contract that is either smaller tech contracts and/or maintenance/other
h2 forecast:
Lunghi - £2.0m (H1 £1.9m)
Keyguard etc £0 (H1 £0.6m) - (havent got a clue so its potential upside to the forecast !)
Tech Asia ports £1.2m - only one port delivered so have assumed 50% of deliverable value
Tech other - £0.4m (closing o/bk at half year was £0.6m but £200k of this is 2 yr maintenance related to Asia contract so have assumed remainder delivered
Tema - stab at £0.5m, from the trading update, "several hundred thousand USD in revenues", I've assumed $600k
so: h2 revenue forecast £4.1m
2019 Revenue forecast £9.7m, (2018 £6.67m)
ebitda - no idea, the recent trading update suggested "a much improved EBITDA", last year was £0.4m, it would have been more comforting (to me) had they reported "a profitable ebitda"