Paul scott comments this morning21 Nov 2024 11:24
I last reviewed CMCX on its H1 TU dated 9/10/2024 where it specifically guided c.£51m PBT. Actual today is slightly lower at £49.6m. So that’s a slight miss against the recent update, which is a little surprising - it’s customary to keep a bit back, and have a small beat, not a small miss. This is 12.8p EPS achieved in H1, which as I speculated last time, leaves the 20.8p FY 3/2025 broker consensus looking very unchallenging indeed. Profits can be volatile due to the vagaries of market conditions. Outlook comments sound in line -
I imagine it might achieve anything between 20-30p EPS for the FY 3/2025. So at 291p/shares, that implies a PER range of 9.7x to 14.6x. Considering that CMCX also has the benefit of £380m NTAV, very secure balance sheet, which supports almost half the market cap, then I think this looks decent value still. I’m not sure why it sold off this morning, we seem to be in a market where people are jittery and bank profits on in line updates. On my quick review, I can’t see anything wrong, so I’ll stick with GREEN.