RE: Dividend Cover, a problem?11 May 2025 00:26
Detector, I think you're trying to have your cake and eat it. You are trying to apply your "old fashioned" metric to "new fashioned" IFRS17 accounts. The two aren't really compatible or comparable. IFRS17 was supposedly intended to make accounts easier for the layman to understand but I (and I think most other PIs) would beg to differ. The old fashioned method was to "smooth" the acounting results (by the judicial use of provisioning) and only recognise losses that were more likely than not to crystallise.
The IASB didn't like this (they thought it could be misleading) and, as a result, insurers are now required to mark-to-market their investments and recognise all price fluctuations, whether they are likely to crystallise or not. Not only that, the IASB also made changes to the accounting for CSM (basically unearned furture profits are now recognised over time rather than predominantly booked upfront like they used to be).
QED the IFRS metrics tend to be jibberish and cannot be relied upon to give an indication as to whether or not LGEN can continue to sustain its dividend. As a result, the statutory accounts will generally reference additional, unaudited*, adjusted non-GAAP metrics, i.e. "old fashioned" metrics, for better comparison year on year. However, because the adjusted non-GAAP metrics aren't normally audited, the metrics published in papers, like the FT, or on websites generally tend to be the less helpful IFRS metrics.
* Auditors will check the computational accuracy of the alternative non-GAAP metrics but they are not genearlly covered by their audit opinion because they are outside the scope of GAAP.