RE: Entry point29 May 2015 22:36
The problem with me from post from raulc , is not one of exit/re-entry point, but he uses 'assets under management' as a tool for identifying Odey's 'tiny commitment'. Since I do not live in a country accessible to the co's accounts, I am at a disadvantage. However, with my limited knowledge, the only assets PLUS has is cash in the bank, trade receivables, and investments. Customer deposits on margins cannot be treated as AUM since they can be withdrawn ( usually ?) at any time, Odey's investment of 22.5M share is significant ( may be raulc can give me the %age), and not 'tiny'. Odey also has c1.4M shares in a CFD. Whether this is long or short ( hedging), is debatable. The guy ( or lass), raulc is a 'big vision, small brain person, who tries to 'impress' with a number of statements, which are not visionary, but rather , one of them will be correct given enough time. I posted shortly after the collapse, that if PLUS 'lost' 50% of it's UK revenue, then a fair sp would be £4.76. I have been a holder prior to the 'collapse', and 'day traded' the co. Luckily, I was 'out ' when collapse happened, but fortunately did go long in well above the £2 bottom. It is obvious to every man and his dog that the share is being day traded, and coupled with the algobots, a large amount of volatility is expected. For raulc to say the present sp of £3.70 is a shorting opportunity beggars belief. It may well dip on Monday with profit taking, but to what level? - £3.50 ( likely), £3.00 ( unlikely), but it may surge on to £4.00. Only in July will we get to know the true impact of UK customer number losses, but some of these will already have transferred to the Cyprus co. It is revenue that will see PLUS retrace to £7+ before year end, not AUM. All IMHO of course.
ps raulc - what;s your figure for AUM.