Cautionary Note28 Jan 2015 21:30
I was previously invested here over 15 months ago. When the first Au production figures were announced, I thought it an ideal time to check the actual Au produced figure and compare it. to the Au content figures of the ore being processed. During this period, actual Au produced was c9800oz, and according to the Au content of the ore, the figure should have been 16,800oz. My figures allowed for 90% of Au extraction, the figure that the co said it was achieving. When I brought it to the attention of MH, he said that these figures were not wholly accurate when sampling, and I should read Guy's Formula when interpreting assay results. He went onto to say, maybe it should have been made more clear in an rns.! Now. I do not disbelieve it has recovered a sample with 45g/t of Au, is it representative, definitely not. I say this because of the recent trading statement regarding the all in sustaining cost for Au production next year is likely to be $900-950/oz. It is regularly reporting Au contents of 7,8,9,10+g Au/t , and has this high AISC from an opencast mine. Many of it's peers have a lower AISC on ore grades of 2,3,4 gAu/t. If the reported grades are correct, that means less ore through the plant to achieve Au production figures, and less ore means significant production savings in both man power, and plant utilisation. The other red flag for me is the no of shares held by the dominant stakeholder, Fratelli?. All the comments I have read about such companies can be summarised as ' avoid like the plague'. All in MHO of course, and DYOR.