RE: Good luck to all!9 Feb 2025 23:50
Fishinggardener
IMO the best low risk plays in the short to medium term are ITs/REITs being wound down or taken over, take a look at ASLI, ARES, ADIG, API (almost gone), BBGI(be gone soon), HEIT, GRIO, RESI. Been adding to all of these on dips except GRIO and looking to get into GRIO if/when it dips or good news. IMO these are all good companies but just too large discount to NAV, these are the ones I have been buying/adding to recently.
My largest holding in general are warehouse REITs but have INPP, SEQI, HICL, TRIG, SUPR, LMP, SHED, BBOX, AGR, PHP, SREI and UTG all trading well below NAV with good yields, some may get wound down which gives a good capital gain. BBOX looks interesting as it is planning new buildings specifically built for AI which gives higher returns than normal warehouses, I like SUPR my largest REIT investment for a good long term play in an area that is expanding but very few if any new sites being built with best quality tenants, if anything was to go wrong sitting on prime sites for new housing thought could have issues with debt refinancing in a few years it interest rates don’t fall much. INPP have been buying shares back to try to narrow discount to NAV, SREI is good because debit is long term at low interest rates, UTG is the lowest yield but could well be in a one of the best growing markets, student accommodation with the added value it can let to government for asylum seekers. I also like NRR a well managed company but in a bad sector may buy some at some point but not now.
We all know why these are cheap, interest rates, guilt’s yields etc but what is overlooked is LDIs which forced pension funds to sell off assets to cover their liabilities which included high yielding ITs/REITs so added to the fall and IMO the fall was overdone which is why so many are being wound down. In time more will go to PI etc, the market will become smaller, interest rates will reduce and the good quality high yielding ITs/REITs SP will rise and while we wait for either wind downs or the rise being well rewarded with high yields.
Another well run high yielding company I have is DUKE, also taken a position in ENOG, well run great yield and SP should recover if ME tensions reduce.
As I am sure you know a lot high quality companies with low SP to chose from.