Good luck patience. Please do not put yourself in a precarious position over this. 95% AMC Apes are down 90+% of their money trying to keep their meme dreams alive. Same with GME.
Remember you are not married to a position. Short or long. And your investment horizon is long enough to recover, so long as you learn along the way.
Everything has been in my post history. It is all based on the legal jargons and wordings in all the dockets. I do not intend to try to convince anyone or give anybody investment advice.
My DD will culminate on the AGM if we receive a tender offer to all our shares between 1p and 5p. Until then, I will keep on holding.
Getting at least 1.2B reduced to 20M is a huge writeoff for the GUC. I wonder why they are not outraged at all. They signed a claim and when the RSA executes, their third party release will be involuntary, with no recourse.
I just wonder how Reorganized Cineworld will deal with their suppliers (film studios etc) about not paying what they are due.
I know it. That is why I am quoting it. This has been an expensive lesson, but I am learning. I have built a comprehensive DD on my position and plan to hold to conclusion. I actually increased my holding yesterday.
I learned from crypto and gamestop but I got off those pits with a profit. This was messier. Even so, it is not over until the fat lady sings!
Cineworld said they could not get a third party lender due to the overhanging court case. If plex renegotiates and cine has a lender on the ready, they can throw the RSA and refinance the entire debt to a new lender. This is as big a longshot as a surprise buyer.
Personally, i think the renegotiating with plex ship has sailed.
That is far too simplistic. There are 8 tiers of interests in cine with differing seniority to be addressed. The big issue is, by the time we reach class/tier 8, it's all dried up. Thus, no recovery.
RE: extension motion for Plan was approved6 Apr 2023 08:53
The lenders have to writeoff 4.2B debt under the RSA. The prospective buyer will have to offer 4.2B higher than what the lenders, who knows estimated revenues, are willing to give. It is very unlikely.
Especially since the marketing process for us uk and jersey is deemed over. A new sponsored lender is still possible if the plex case gets settled though.