RE: I wonder if our CEO has any more surprises............2 Nov 2022 09:57
Tamer, You are correct....Putting a 'number' on the future SP is nigh on impossible, especially given the large number of prospects and variable that exist within ECR's portfolio.
One way to look at possibilities is to look at other miners MCAPs when they are at certain stages of development and look at the size of their prospects.
At the moment we are around the £10-11 million mark.
Looking at a number of junior miners with Jorc compliant and commercially viable prospects they range from £50-125m.
Then you look at those with really good resource ...and I'll use our old friend GGP (and before anyone starts I am not saying this is going to be the same) and the mcap is somewhere between £350-450m last time I looked.
So if it takes a year or two (again this timeline is unknown) to geta JORC compliant resource at Lulworth that is commercially viable the mcap from £50-125m would not be unreasonable to expect.
We could also have the same at Blue Moon and or Creswick in a couple of years with one or more of the projects subject to JV partnerships limiting out expenditure /on a free ride....then the MCAP would be £xxx m.
Of course to take the projects forward (and if we don't get a free ride) we would probably need to do further placings which would dilute the share price, but if we are at £100m+ I would not be worried by that (especially if the SP is higher then needing less shares issued)
Anyway, I am just spitballing numbers.
They are not a prediction, but demonstrate the potential in ECR IF we get positive news and progress on one, some or all projects....plenty of major upside here in the medium/long term.
In the short term we have initial Lulworth findings due any time (which could cause a nice bump in the SP) and then Blue Moon drilling results which I believe could cause a re-rate here as they could be VERY well received and if the confirm/extend the 2019 drilling results we could be sat on a very nice commercial resource (and if memory serves one of the majors has the license directly adjacent to Blue Moon, so there may be scope for a partnership there???)
All the above is why I have piled in here and will patient as things develop.