RE: Headwinds15 Oct 2019 12:12
I would add to Davey's list of Headwinds:
7. Erratic behaviour of the majority shareholder CKHH.
Although CKHH have voluntarily put themselves in a straitjacket for now, their past behaviour of self-harm (not just recently, but going back to the Nasdaq ADR) is a major risk to the shareholders of HCM.
I was re-reading the article https://www.standard.co.uk/business/hutchison-china-meditech-looks-like-a-healthy-bet-in-its-major-drugs-push-a4152891.html , dated 28 May 2019 when the share price was £42 (or £4.20 - the good old day). I couldn't find anything negative that was done by HCM since May 2019. Everything that have affected the share price seem to have been external - ranging from CKHH self-harm, US-China trade war to HK riot, Donald Trump brainless big mouth and Sterling Pounds Brexit fluctuations.
HCM was founded in year 2000, nearly 20 years ago. China today is vastly different from then. The Shanghai Stock Exchange is now the 4th biggest in the world in term of market cap, bigger than Hong Kong and London. Given that HCM is predominantly a Chinese company with its majority revenue from China, and that Medicine is one of the key industries of the Made in China 2025 initiatives, HCM should seriously think about a listing on the Shanghai Stock Exchange as mitigation against Headwinds 1, 2, 4, 5 and may be 6 as well.