RE: SHARE PRICE9 Jan 2025 12:52
Bought a tiny bit this morning at £4.84 to reduce my overall average to £5. My gut feeling is that the worse is yet to come due to Trump talks about tariffs (inflation, higher interest rate) and reshoring (more borrowing to finance it, higher borrowing rate). So gilts/bonds yields could rise and existing gilts/bonds value drop. Unfortunately, Solvency II capital requirement is based on the present value of the gilts/bonds so in theory, Phoenix needs to deploy more capital to meet the SII requirement if the gilts/bonds value drop. Fortunately, according to 2024 interim result, Phoenix has a SII surplus of £3.5b which should give it some cushions.