RE: Surprised Trade31 Mar 2022 10:04
Morning O_I, as you are aware I remain very positive on the CPX outlook, have done for some years (!) and to be fair even though progress has taken longer than anyone imagined we finally appear to have all the pieces falling into place....As we know both both brokers now clearly state 'sum of parts value' closer to 200 percent higher than todays sp 13p+ and importantly this does not take into account or include any potential upside from a win against the Maxwell infringement, that would no doubt shoot the sp into orbit..
The current sp level appears to have built in the discount for the Maxwell case, caution understandable and therefore leaves a potential larger upside if the case follows the previous ones on infringement for the same products, in the same court, and is awarded to CPX.
Maxwell case aside, imo the sp at thses levels also discounts the current increasing order book, the clear (at last) path outlined to profitability - broker note - '' this calendar year will see significant value creation as the company converts more customers and grows sales to a level of sustained profitability'' - .....the current sum of parts valuation also does not include royalties, so again further upside if or when re instated....in addition gross margins now over 50%, product numbers and orders increasing and AK stated last month that the company has 'plenty of cash' when asked and the production lines can still cope with further increased orders.
Cpx is now set to deliver, it's been a volatile journey, sp has jumped from 4p, or even 2p to 15p and 17p at various times. Cpx has never been in such a decent position, they now own their own manufacturing line, have secured a Tier1 auto (Continental) and have established themselves as a genuine global producer with real products and income.
An Aim company operating as such and valued at just £27m mcap is an attractive investment down here imo (hence I added a few more a couple of weeks ago to my already substantial holding)...as was stated a few days ago there are few companies with such a low mcap/sp with such global reach and opportunity imo.....the risk is re the Maxwell case, however, that risk is priced in imo at these lows, without the 'win' CPX still has a business that is delivering, earning and growing and realistically should have an sp above 10p+ on current knowns as stated by both brokers etc.....throw in an infringement win, as per previous cases and 10p will be in the rear view mirror...............at current sp imo there is a small downside risk, as in any stock,however, against that is a much larger risk to the upside imo ;-)