RE: AGM5 Sep 2025 15:19
I think JT's summary is good
Few adds from me.
I liked the fact that the chairman (Andrew Hockey) opened up, he's just under a year in. Introduced himself, and set the scene. The tone immediately felt different. Hockey is very clear they need to accelerate to first cash - that came later. It's a major priority. They know they cant dilute the Topco again. They arent saying they wont ever, but the future will be because they have a major opportunity that is price accretive.
They made clear the sombre mood last year was that they knew the early drill results from the pilot hole, but couldnt comment due to PLC restrictions. I left last years event feeling like there was a clear issue. This year was totally different. Agree with JT on the contrite point. AP also acknowledged the room was the quietest they'd seen it. I was there in 2024 and 2022 and it was much busier. There was a confidence (not arrogance) in AP this time around - and AP even stating that investors not present have got it wrong.
They made the point that they punch above their weight on access and emphasised the strength of the Namibian relationship - as they really kick started the majors interest following their activity back in 2011. I think that Namibia is probably a given. Again, there seemed greater certainty. When they get the licence Duncan will be out the next day selling, etc
On Anchois, the bit of interest beyond the initial 2nd well is the find is Anguille prospect at an estimated 500BCF which can be easily hooked in to the wave 1 development. They have both Moroccan and Major interest which they havent had to chase. I think they will announce something on Loukos in the coming months (there was a throwaway comment).
The Wind update is weeks away (if that) and is currently closing. They clearly think that will further help the read through value with the minority equity investor interest.
Nour is on the back burner due to limited Hydrogen interest, but they are 50/50 with Total and keeping it moving.
They made clear they are through doom loop, with a reference to things looking very different next year.
They are clearly open to selling the power business (as well as an IPO), and have had interest. They will only do it for the right value.
Adonis made a clear point in response to a question with a message of 'stick with us'
For what it's worth It's the best I've seen them in the three AGMs.
I'm not ramping, I'm talking it up, simply relaying what I heard and saw. You can all make your own minds up.
I will sleep much easier tonight
Surety out!