RE: State of Play25 Jul 2024 10:48
My last post!
State of play?
The reason for SP decline is not due to shorting or some trading conspiracy others would have you believe. They make such claims for a particular reason which will become apparent.
It’s actually and very simply, the risk/reward when viewed by informed Professionals, is unfavorable. Particularly the moving target of resource and costs to conduct the necessary Car-T trials.
See FP third party paper substantiating the later as true and factual.
Further funds are required, the company has stated!
The working hypothesis of some is;
Funds will support through to preliminary trial results and if favorable, more non-dilutive funding will be easily available.
I disagree. Firstly i suspect further funds will be required prior to patient trials AND preliminary results. I have previously explained the reasons why.
I also disagree with the ease of further non-dilutive funding in the event of favorable “preliminary”results,Why?
Durability of response!
The nemesis of Car-T treatments .let me explain.
Let’s assume first patient results are an initial complete response . No doubt some here would quickly pronounce a cure for AML . Well ,… no !
It’s not unusual for Car-T treatments to result in a CR , and it’s not unusual for the “Durability” of such a response to be so short lived to be unsuitable even for a potential bridging therapy.
So, i would not expect knowledgeable professional biotech investors to pile in unless and until a clinically significant durability is proven.
The JFH/Digitt hypothesis of funding and particularly its likely timing, is unreliable as a significant time post initial treatment is required to demonstrate durability.
My last post, why ?
It’s becoming more apparent to me that some genuine LTH’s are suffering both financially but more importantly mentally.Unfortunately my posts appear to antagonize which is not my intention.
So I’ve made clear my opinions and shared independent third party papers to substantiate.
I will not be responding further with the exception of ;
1. I’m proven wrong.
I would then return only to publicly admit my error.
2. Upon future RNS with subsequent request by any forum member for my comment.
I will only post again in those circumstances, 100% promise ( not a JFH 100% ) and considering the two exceptions above ,… expect it’s the last from me!
AIMO
GLA