RE: Tremor25 Oct 2020 16:18
Farrug
"How are Trmr going"
The figures/expectations say it all..
This year includes a full year contribution from Unruly and Rthm(was 8months last yr).
So RTHM + YUME + Unruly + Taptica and they still expecting to make revenues of only $330m and adj Ebitda of $30m????
At one point, Rthm were supposed to be making over $350m on their own, weren't they?
Read the Finncap forecasts from 31st March and compare with the June and current note:.
They reduced expectations significantly in June and since have increased them but still significantly lower than 6 months ago.
All they have done is significantly reduce expectations half way through the year then increase them slightly since.
Therefore, their expectations are still significantly below 31st March levels.
Finncap notes - free to register.
Finncap expectations as of 31st March were:
revenue: $424.9m, now $330m, DOWN $95m
ebitda: $75.mm, now $33m, DOWN $40m
https://researchlibrary.finncap.com/File/View?file=62f9bbb9-4efe-49f7-a809-002552770f2a
All this with record spending on US Election ad spends - over $1.5bln.
With both US Presidential Election ad spending at record highs AND the exclusive deals via Unruly, I would have thought the revenues. adj Ebidta, cash should have been SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER than 2019.
Have a look at previous results, since before/after Rthm -
remember TRMR now = RTHM+YUME+UNRULY+TAP
period, revenues, profit/loss, cash
2018 276.9m 44.1m 54.4m *** without any contribution from rthm
2019 325,8m 60.4m 76.9m *** with 8 month contribution from rthm
2020e 350m, 33m, *** ONLY $25m revenue increase, even with FULL YEAR contribution from rthm & Unruly