CGP8 Mar 2019 11:07
are looking to cash in as soon as possible. That's what it all comes down to. The absolute best that CGP could hope to get from SOLG, by way of an offer, is giving them sufficient shares in SOLG such that the CGP valuation of Cascabel matches the SOLG current valuation (at 37p), minus a wodge for their debt obligations, and perhaps minus a bit considering that they are gaining greatly increased access to the regional plays. They thereby get an immediate boost in the value of their holdings and retain ALL of the upside potential from either production or, the more likely, takeover.
However, there is the argument that if CGP merges with SOLG, the chances of a potentially quicker takeover of CGP by a major is lost, thereby extending the timeline for CGP holders to achieve maximum value. Then again, SOLG is going to be doing everything in it's power to block said CGP takeover...I believe Newcrest and BHP want to keep a friendly relationship with SOLG at the moment - if either move to takeover CGP, without SOLG's approval, then that friendship will go out of the window. They won't take that route unless they see a very clear end game.