Thoughts19 Nov 2024 19:18
I'm pretty relaxed with where things are. I think the BBs are a good use of cash, and we should be able to de-lever at the same time. I'm not even that worried about Shinez, it's a small piece of the business and may have strategic value down the line, even if the price paid is currently looking poor.
Main thing for me is understanding the OM profitability and what is contributing to the squeeze on margin. If click prices normalise to where they were before (2023) then this is going to print cash, but if they continue to decline then there's a real problem here.
In terms of valuation, I reckon OP is probably worth about the entire MCap. I like the idea of spinning it off with most of the debt, but let's just see what happens.