The Big Picture11 Aug 2018 08:46
Always good to look at the big picture at the weekend. Up till Monday AST had been on a downward trend since September 2017. Monday's RNS was catastrophic for shareholders and many were frightened out of the share. Wednesday's meeting put a different complexion on things with a more reassured position. Monday's RNS was pointing to the imminent demise of the company. Getting the diplomats involved smoothed over the situation and has allowed things to progress. Before then positions were entrenched with ARSO being awkward and not wishing to help as they didn't feel loved.
Now sentiment has improved. The SP should move up above 1p and I could see 1.2p in the very near term and even more toward the end of next week. A successful conference call will help. Yesterday's second RNS should avoid the inevitable bickering and bitterness from many in the call. We should have a productive call with investors getting further informed. If any information is SP sensitive it can then be RNSed at 07:00 Wednesday morning before market opening.
An increase in SP from the downward trend should happen because of improved sentiment and because things are improving with AST. There will always be the doubters. AST is a risk. Life is a risk. We could be hit and wiped out by an asteroid at any time. AST is much less of a risk now.
May will ask: what has changed? We still need the permits. We still need funding.
The permits should happen with both sides now cooperating. Funding then becomes more accessible. Parties involved in the SR will be more willing to provide funding. Banks will be more willing to provide funding when they see a stable situation. And, dare I say it, shareholders will be more willing to accept a further placing, if it is really necessary. End result: Old wells getting reopened, PG10 and PG11a producing much more reliably, with funds to reenter them, and then who knows what the MCap will be?