RE: PREM6 Oct 2018 16:31
AIMHO!!!!
Putting aside our little spat the other day, Strongman, the difficulty that we're all dealing with is the partial information that we have about RHA. I suspect that any potential JV partner will be in the same boat.
With what we've been told so far, my own view is that it doesn't look like a compelling case to re-start RHA. That could have something to do with the disrupted webinar and GR not being given the opportunity to explain. The 15 month window hasn't helped and the potential cashflow isn't convincing within that time period.
It would help if GR could explain how conservative they have been with their projections. This time last year, I don't think that we were expecting $1million plus capital costs and looking forward, if history is anything to go by, that figure could well rise.
Quite apart from that there would be the big questions of how much GR will give away to the jv partner and where he will be personally paid from. If RHA is the only source of income, it doesn't look as if GR's salary is included in the RHA figures.
The Open Pit seems to be well up in the air too from the comments in the RNS.
This could all be down to GR's poor communication but, if experience is anything to go by, things tend to be worse than he is usually willing to say (he would much rather highlight the possibility of copper!). If, as you have suggested, he is meeting the potential JV partner on Monday, I wonder if that was requested by the jv partner after seeing the webinar. Perhaps, they are looking for more clarity and certainty just like the rest of us!!
Personally, I think that it will be a couple of months before we see any clarity. He needs to complete the drilling (end of this month/start of next) do the sums/get the full report done and I think the real negotiations for a JV will start then. If the ownership is resolved next week, that would be all well and good but, because of the uncertainty highlighted above, I can't see the sp moving much if that does happen.
AIMHO!!!