RE: Opinion from the manipulators?13 Feb 2021 11:27
Thanks Mr T. It was as easy as following a chart we'd all be billionaires...
Bullionvault, like all, are wrong too. Not saying that they are wrong this time, we never know. I think I've posted this before, but just in case- I split my investments, my main pension being "actively managed" by a company. Last year at the big issue with COVID ~March2020, it dropped ~28% in about a week as deemed as "high risk" being global equity based(with only a very small part being UK, due to the brexit risk). I was freaking out naturally as there's a lot in there, or there was. I thought about swapping out to bonds/cash to protect but didn't catch it, and was concerned about what prices I would get, as these funds with their manage can take a while to go through. I then had a choice, leave where it was or swap to prevent losing more. Many at the time were predicting more doom, before any uptick. I held where it was. As of now it's up ~52% from where it was at that low, a gain of ~13% from it's previous high just before the COVID drop off (sounds mad but as I've said before, strong listed companies will take over where sadly small unlisted will fail, along with massive stimulus and protection for companies to be able to bounce back- again people said look at 2008, ignoring 2008 as a bank issue which was always going to take years to resolve, so how could this ever be a comparator? Sure a recession, but unlike others). Since the drop off, there were several blips, eg June, Oct and many slight blips along the way, and I lost count of the experts, chartists etc. saying "crisis, markets will correct, any dip on it's way" etc etc. I just held, ignoring all their advice, despite having clawed back some losses. Having checked what funds and what was in those funds where my high risk was invested- I trusted my "active manager". Many Active management companies have had a bad name as fees are deemed high compared to other funds- my view has always been I don't care what the fee is, am just interested in net % gain only. Had I listened to all the doom-sayers since ~April2020, I'd be jumping off a cliff by now, having missed out on the recovery, and stuck with a massive loss. I'm not saying that this is right for everyone, and we all make our own choices, but I take all analyst views with a pinch of salt- they regularly change their minds day to day, the info we get in the public domain is often vital seconds, minutes or longer out of date.
On charts, Algo's rule, and in my view learn exponentially quicker, so patterns, especially patterns from a while ago tend to be less relevant and will continue to be so- algo's work on multiple factors these days.
As you said the other day, it's a 50/50 flip each time we trade. I avoid companies without strong fundamentals. I keep my fingers crossed for the future.
Why do I hold CEY in my own managed investments? Well, based on fundamentals, plan to resolve recent issues that pulled down price, potential for future expansion etc