At what point is Genel under valued24 Nov 2018 10:15
So we are £500m market cap.
Let’s get the facts of what this relates to
1. $ 300m bond
2. By year end I estimate Genel will have close to $400m cash therefore $100m cash positive, therefore taking out cash Genel is worth about £425m Sterling.
3. 2019 I expect will average close to 35-40k significantly improving as the year progresses as Pesh pushes 100k and our 100% from Bina at 10-20k second half of 2019
4. Cash flow for 2019 could be pushing $400m to $500m or £300 to 375m sterling which is 90% of the current SP
5. Cash at year end 2019 could be 30 to 40% of the current market cap.
6. this could give Genel a war chest excluding the bond of around 300 to 400m dollars.
And none of this is account for Miran and Bina gas.
It has fallen way to far and when the market wakes up realises this expect a significant rerate, but what is annoying me is why do the bod not take this opportunity to repurchase 10% of the stock or as a minimum announce the start of dividends in jan because the amount of cash she is throwing off even at $50 POO is insane.
BOD wake up !!! And capitalise on this through share buy back, dividend or pick up a distressed oiler, this is a unique opportunity, grab it because Genel is in one of the strongest positions in this sector at the moment.