A5 Deep Well - flow test result end of April?28 Mar 2024 13:59
On Monday the rig was in place to resume work at Deep Well A5 readying to drill a 400m sidetrack from 4,500m. If drilling has started by next Monday we could have news out before the end of April if they're drilling at 20m per day - how long will they flow the well before updating us, 3 days? No blockages please.
The 155 Shallow Horizontal Well was flying at around 30m per day by mal calcs so we could have another Well result a few later, earlier than expected.
RE: Shallow Structures Potential Value25 Mar 2024 17:02
If CASP manage to get any where near $200m-$300m for the two shallow structures they will have enough to start the BNG FDP and build an oil pipeline to boot.
I keep thinking with that much available funding the BNG deep structures will look like Swiss Cheese.
Shallow Structures Potential Value25 Mar 2024 15:04
the board has in recent months entered into a number of discussions with potential buyers concerning the bng shallow mjf and south yelemes structures at indicative prices potentially significantly greater than its current carrying value.
note buyer(s).
note price(s).
so a possible bidding war for each of the two shallow structure.
an 'indicative' price for each structure seems to have been aired? atm i'd say the mjf structure will gain the higher bid price - though the sy structures recent dolomite discovery could prove substantial in adding to reserves for this structure and therefore a higher bid price - from initial talks in the last few months.
the ''current carrying value'' is not the mc.
the carrying value will be based on the current shallow 1p-2p reserves and potential future reserves increases of each shallow structure which share 15m 1p and 25m 2p reserves - not sure how these reserves are split, which will lead to different price offers per structure.
will casp get a premium offer for the shallows? yes with multiple interested parties bidding, imo.
hopefully there's no discount of their net oil revenue per barrel of oil or % of the current share price over say 5 days etc..
will casp do a new cpr increasing reserves with the new sy dolomite oil to uplift the reserves?
i've said before the data room door will be being knocked on or is that banged on ;-)
full value estimate - *** packet value:
15m 1p reserves at $33 gross pboo/ $15 net? = 17p / 8p per share accordingly - it's been know for companies to pay full value with multiple parties involved and the need for building reserves - plus casp have 25m of 2p reserves at $? pboo = ? to factor in + potential.
there are a lot of international majors in the area and the chinese in particular do like to make a good offer ;- )
In the short term there are 5 wells expected to start drilling along with the Block 8 Regulations signed off and a Specialist onboard to remove the 141/ 802 stuck pipes (hopefully CASP can get the 141 Shallow Wells 27m stuck pipe removed themselves).
Considering CASP's glacial pace with mobilizing and testing re the A5-A7 Deep Wells (still planning 6 weeks ago - and a lot longer than that ZzZzZzZz) and still trying to find a Specialist (6 months+) to remove the stuck pipes I'm not expecting an Op's Update until next month.
The next Op's RNS will be about setting the foundations to finally finishing these deep wells with results expected several months later so I don't expect any meat on the bones re deep results until the third or fourth Op's Update is out - in the summer - Q4.
Block 8 Regulations signed off will probably be announce in a separate RNS and a Specialist onboard in another RNS. IMO.
141/807/155/A5/A7 Reg's/ Specialist/ Block 8 news due next month is my guess.
Hopefully Block 8 Reg's will have been sorted (8 months now) and a Specialist is onboard ( 6months+) so we can crack on with these wells next month but I'm not holding my breath....
I'm wondering if the delays are mainly down to product dropping from 2k bopd to 1,600 bopd through the first half of the year therefore having an impact on the timing of drilling the deep wells re available dosh? Why has it taken over 8 months to mobilize one of the G40 rigs on Block 8 - why are they still testing the G70 rig after it drilled the A8 Deep Well 12 months ago - dosh problems I'll bet.
Av $33 pb × 1,950 bopd = approx $64K pd Gross revenue at th moment with approx $10 million due in Q3-4 with several shallow/ deep wells expected to flow by then, if they do you can treble+ today's production levels.
Bob, it's possible after a month they've managed to pull the 27m of stuck pipe out and the well is flowing as you imply, let's hope they have removed the pipe themselves with no Specialists taking a cut of production, with other news due to boot.
''However, in its filings, Permnipineft warned that pre-drill preparations may require the contractor to drop thousands of tonnes of stones to the sea bottom at the drilling site to aid a successful installation of the barge, because the expected water depth at the location is eight metres.''
I think that pretty much confirms the Contractor will bear the cost for installing the barge.
CASP should get between $9.3m and $11.5M for hiring the drill ship out and any upgrades are paid for by the Contractor to boot.
Another month has passed and CASP are still 'planning' to drill the A7 Deep Well and still 'planning' to mobilize a G40 rig from Block 8 to drill the A5 Deep Well and still waiting to spud the 807/ 155 Shallow Wells and still waiting to pull the stuck piping out of wells 141 Shallow Well and the 802 Deep Well.
You would think so re news out within the next 4 weeks with the following wells about to spud/ sidetrack etc. 807-155-141 Shallow Wells and the A5-A7 Deep Wells and the 802 possibly being contracted out this month.
I think we'll see at least 3 wells spud this month with possible Block 8 regulations signed off to boot.
So yeah news before month end is very likely.
Looking forward to seeing the A5-A7 Deep Wells finally drilling again.
More guff, they've got to get a specialist onboard first to pull 3,400m of piping out before trying to flow the well, which will take a while before fracking and cementing can take place.