Cause and Effect11 Jan 2026 14:43
CASP's share price hasn't moved significantly upwards yet due to a number of factors.
Cause and Effect.
Cause:Β
The 2-3 year Yelemes Deep/ Airshagyl license extensions handed out were a disappointment as the market was expecting the full 25 year licenses to be issued for each structure (at least work can be carried out).
The unexpected $25m law suit by 4 inner circle holders not agreeing to the $88m shallows sale, which would wipe out CASP's CAB if they were to win the case. This is playing a big drag on the share price with a large element of uncertainty even though four lawyer firms have said there's no case.
The Block 8 contract area license is still pending after 3 years.
Expectations have not been delivered, especially those quoted to be by YE.
Further dilution from the shallows sale of another 100m shares from the shallows sale, the 100m shares will probably hit the shares in issue number this month if oil flows from West Shalva, with a further $5m payment if successful production happens, wiping out the $5 remaining shallows sale dosh.
Further dilution is very likely around the corner with another mining acquisition, where are we with the Galaz sized prospects DD too?
Possibly - A6 Deep Well still blocked after acid wash/ West Shalva none commercial/ Block 8 still not signed off to CASP re pending KAA sign off and the Akkaduk license with two wells drilled and still in limbo re pending tests.
Effect:
A5-A6- A7 Deep Well/ West Shalva shallow well/ Block 8 P1 Deep Well/ 2 Akkaduk Deep Wells pending license- testing/ 802-803 Deep Wells pending work/ testing etc.. ALL of these individual wells having a positive outcome will have an effect on the share price, especially if they all come in this year. The A5 Deep Well alone saw the share price rocket to 24p.
Block 8 contract area license signed off with production under CASP's belt from at least 2 deep wells with 2 more pending testing and reserves to book, with OIP numbers estimated to be around 100m-400m boo.
West Shalva proving commercial oil flows could unlock the estimated 80m boo CASP reckon are there..
Yelemes Deep production and reserves to book and another 3 deep wells to drill could see a reserves upgraded with Airshagyl to boot with 2 new deep wells to drill.
Potentially 3 CE charters currently being signed off.
The $25m law suit being kicked out of court.
The list of negative causes impacting on todays share price will no doubt have a temporary drag on the share price, the effect of them being overcome will see the share price jump by multiples of todays lows.
To make an informed decision re selling/ buying you've simply got to see the ever increasing bigger picture. imo.
News on Monday?