RE: Red Flag - 56 Jan 2026 17:52
UPSA does not claim to own the land - it has contractual rights to extract and process the material, which is standard in quarry and minerals projects. The detailed legal terms (change of control, royalties, termination) are disclosed in the prospectus, not early RNS updates.
The £1bn / £1.6bn figures are CPR modelled estimates, based on processed PSA sales over time, not a simple "£ per tonne in the ground" comparison. That's why comparing it to raw SCM deals isn't valid.
Full costs, capex and sensitivities are part of the CPR, and lower-price cases are always tested. The deal wouldn't be progressing if it only worked at one optimistic number.
Carbon credits are upside, not the core valuation. Ownership and monetisation are commercial details that are finalised before admission, and ther ect does not rely on them to work.