RE: The Tunisia Two28 Dec 2019 21:22
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Enter Zenith Energy – another serial disappointer on Aim – with barely enough cash reserves to keep going itself, let alone go after assets in Congo.
Get them to meet with SNPC first – before anyone knows what is happening. Anglo can't get a meeting until January but our Italian guys can get in there quicksmartwith their sharp suits and glinting smiles.
Perfect.
Rewind – Quick - What about that leaky plug – the one leaking that Djeno oil. You can't leave the company in limbo with all that oil leaking out in the Congo. There is just enough in the old girl's coffers to get a new plug fitted and to safe the well Thank goodness we did that – the well can now be left for a couple of years, if necessary, no problem.
Or no problemo, as Andrea Cattaneo della Volta would say, CEO of Zenith (he's a Marquis, you know).
Until we are ready.
So, Zenith takes over Tilapia, in a bum deal, at least a bum deal for the shareholders, but then they haven't got a lot of choice, the company is virtually bankrupt. It is this or nothing.
Heck! - or nothing! “Or nothing” is insolvency. So we'll bung them a couple of grand so the leccy won't be cut off before the EGM.
Question is when is the most opportune time to have the EGM and precipitate “the crisis”.
Christmas.
“Crisis at Christmas” – perfect, as everyone will be on hols, and this will limit the ability of any pesky “alternative offers” to get off the ground.
So the bad, but only deal gets passed at the EGM, Zenith gets Tilapia. The schmucks get 11%, but no control.
Whoops – fast forward to mid 2020 and Zenith is struggling a bit with Tilapia – actually it is doing nothing with Tilapia, but it can make a big fuss of appearing to struggle, until some nice gentlemen from Tunisia, backed by producing fields, and high finance, step in to take it off their hands.
Job done.
No problemo.
Of course, that is just one scenario – but the unfolding of events, and the sustaining of significant losses by all present shareholders – for there can be none who is actually in profit – leads one to believe that could actually have happened. I would not have believed it could be remotely true even a couple of weeks ago, let alone that I could have been writing this as a scenario.
Shareholders, for the most part are mere spectators.
The people making the decisions, and who know what is in the company coffers at any one time, are intelligent and highly paid. Anglo hasn't had bad luck, oil prices haven't plummeted, there hasn't been a revolution in Congo, all these wounds are self inflicted, whether by design or ineptitude, and lead us to the pitiful state the company is in today.
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