RE: Mr Powell19 Apr 2025 14:44
Gate,
The academic evidence for tariff flow-through to retail inflation is limited to non-existent. Exporters and shippers and importers and distributors almost always absorb 70-90% of the extra tariff. Thatās why his economic team have (shrewdly) chosen tariffs -- they are a fantastic tool for punishing over-tariffers abroad, without punishing consumers at home. What's more, most tariffs are paused for 3 months, and it's likely this is the high watermark for tariffs. From here, the only way is down. Powell should have cut 0.25-0.50% off rates by now. He's stalling due to politics, not economics.