RE: Updated website & Events18 Nov 2020 10:00
Surprised.
With the historic issues with Kromek with systemic failures in commercial and financial control resulting in an unprecedented accounting treatment, agreed I am taking a very pessimistic view but based on their past performance.
I am not sure most shareholders understand just how amazing the accounting treatment is for this one contract which wipes out a years revenue, but more important whether this shows a general acceptance of very, very high levels of contract risk without the controls, process and management in place to control this risk.
I would point to a number of issues here.
- They have not made it clear there will be no need to tap shareholders for cash, this is a strong infererence but not 100% clear.
- As we have seen contract and cash management is not Kromeks strength, "revenue" and "stock delivery" does not equal cash or even invoicing - we have no real idea of the exact payment terms of these contracts. As these contracts are under the old CFO and "in house counsel" I can assume these are not great from a working capital perspective, the company spending cash months or years before they see the cash inflow.
- The absolute desperation for cash can be seen in the notes to the accounts with the early discount payment changing the original terms and conditions. This is £0.7m but with absolutely no transparency of the % this represents but I expect it to be substantial.
- Would advice investors to read the going concern notes in the annual report, these are usually fairly plain but are interesting in Kromeks case. Reading between the lines also watch for impairment issues on capitalised developments which may change the dynamics around banking covenants.
- In the 6-9 months to the annual report the share price fell with no real news, I assume some updates to key investors / brokers on their operational issues which were not widely communicated. As no share price changes now assume no change in these issues communicated in the background.
- The banking covenants in £ terms are not that big and were already 60% utilised 8-9 months ago with no update.
Unless we have further communication everything is very, very opaque. A lot of medium - long term upside, but the proactive talks with Arnab on world leading technology etc etc don't mean anything if they cant do the basics of running a company within financial parameters in the near term.
As I say hoping for an rns providing an update on their cash / financial position, until this appears the share price will remain where it is.