RE: Deals10 Jun 2021 23:38
Andrew.
Firstly Wikipedia ratings are not worth the paper they are written on.
Much as I understand the KPI of average revenue per deal I don't think this really gives a good indication, much more granularity is required - how many are in the market, how many are producing quarterly revenues within certain bands, how quickly does it take to produce material revenue, what is the trajectory once material revenue starts, how many are dumped (which is not negative and should be expected).
I think you are right that 5 or so deals should be 90% plus of revenue in a few years time. For the time being it would be good to have 50 deals doing a nice 2.5m run rate at the bottom end, with "super" deals and stbx on top of this.
Opti / soh aren't great in providing detailed breakdowns on actuals, preferring to concentrate on interviews on what is / might be round the corner in x years time. The teasing of what might be really does need to turn into top and bottom line execution in the near future.
After a great h1 20 and a very weak h2 20 we really need to see growth is still moving in the right direction.
At the moment the share price reflects the promise of greatness and delivery which is underwhelming compared to the opportunity the company has told us about. I do however think it represents good value, especially compared to where it was a year or two ago.
I think your last line on being patient is spot on, hopefully long term holders will be rewarded with a substantial re rating (2-4 x where it is now) but I'm really haven't a clue on the timing of when this might be.