8 June report…11 Oct 2021 09:51
Reports emerged Cevian has built up a 5% stake in Aviva (AV.), the UK-listed insurer, and plans to push for greater cost cuts and a return of up to £5 billion cash to investors.
Aviva saw its share price rally more than 3% in response to 424.87p as investors piled in on hopes that a hefty lump sum could be up for grabs. But how much cash might this actually see individual investors get for each share they own?
To work this out we need to find out how many shares Aviva has in the market, then divide the cash return figure by those shares in issue. Declarations show that Aviva had 3,929,319,641 ordinary shares in circulation at the end of May 2021.
5,000,000,000 (implied cash return)
3,929,319,641 (shares in issue)
= 127p per share (approximately)
At the current share price, that would imply a rough 30% yield. However, on the assumption the cash return did happen, investors need to remember that the share price would almost certainly fall by an equivalent 127p amount in the short-term since that cash would no longer be in the business.
Take from this what you want. Might be 3.5 billion after the share buy back but it’s still going to be a hefty dividend. We assume this is going to happen so anyone who doesn’t want the Divi will have more than enough notice and they can sell.