IPA / speculation29 Jan 2024 07:58
Despite the political changes, it seems implausible that it is taking us this long to revise an important yet relatively simple document.
Last September, Middlekoop highlighted a translated Chinese article which claimed that the government had signed a preliminary agreement on Cascabel with "the investor". It was unclear whether this referred to Jiangxi or Solg. The translated piece is here:
https://www.econotimes.com/Solaris-Resources-Warintza-Project-in-Ecuador-Attracts-Global-Attention-Chinese-Investors-in-the-Lead-1667077
Given the thrust of the article is Chinese investors and Jiangxi, I am increasingly leaning towards it being about Jiangxi. What preliminary agreement have we signed? None to my knowledge.
In which case, when negotiating this IPA, why would Solg be doing the heavy lifting, when the terms of the IPA are going to be relevant to the company actually building the mine? Jiangxi probably fancy themselves to negotiate their own terms as they have much more clout than little old Solg.
Moreover, given the 200m odd shortfall in our spending exploring Cascabel, and current cash balance and Mcap, the people on the other side of the table will be asking Solg where are you planning on finding the billions required to build this?
I think the radio silence on how this process is going (we have had meaningless soundbites saying it's going well but absolutely no detail) points towards it being out of our control as the terms are going to be relevant for the entity that develops, builds and mines Cascabel.
We have mothballed the company, we are in an endless strategic review, we have been prioritising drilling targets for nearly a full year now. There is no way I see us owning this project for much longer.