RE: Latest presentation23 Feb 2024 15:42
Fort, whilst I haven't sat down to do a formal analysis, Newmont's CEO said this in December:
“In terms of the listed Newcrest things on the plate, SolGold is down, down the list quite a bit in terms of where we are focusing our energy,” he said. “It is too early for us to be forming a judgment just yet.”
Given that the priority was to put a broom through the PF and look for sysnergies/costs savings, I think it's fair to assume the stake in SOLG didn't form part of this initial workstream.
For both BHP and NEM, the obvious play is to continue to sit back and do nothing. Caldwell has wound the company up completely and overseen a massive fall in the value of this business. I imagine both firms are having quiet words in the Naboa administration's ears, when possible, to sow seeds of doubt, but beyond that they're probably happy watching us flounder.
If we manage to eke out a bid from Jiangxi / another suitor both BHP and NEM will have a chance to counter it. Sitting on hands is a win-win for them.