Member Info for shamI89

Situation here, he thought war will be over in couple of days and anti-regime forces would take over.The way things are going Iran is targeting gulf states and that can push oil into 100s.

It is all about war and how long it will go on for.If it intensifies then it will affect major routes as Middle east has some of biggest transit hubs in the world and it will affect price of oil.That is a double whammy for airlines, another important factor would be inflation and that can affect leisure travel.

Speculative money here.It is a stonking short until situation gets resolved one way or another.

Iran is not Gaza I am afraid, bombarding a small land-lacked area is easy but attacking a country like Iran is a different level.Israel has superior military technology there is no doubt about that but Iran can cause some serious damage.You cant predict these sort of wars now a days.

Middle east has some major transit hubs and Iran can choke global oil supply by closing strait of Harmus, so double whammy for airlines.

So you can attack a country and it does not have to retaliate.Only countries with USA Military bases are being attacked.

Hope I am wrong but this situation wont end quickly in my opinion.Iran surrendred unofficially as it fired few missiles and that was it.This time it has to respond or it risks getting eliminated.Situation can get worst from here and trump is hell bent on dragging other countries into this.

It is like someone is buying whatever shares it could in market.Hard to predict where it goes from here but looks like market would start rerating it higher.

Shorts are closing theur shorts and buying pressure is relentless.

I could not see any figure?

Looks like you have caught another falling knife laura, I think you got in around 10.

Lets find out,, hopefully forensic results would be released next month.

A lot of these people saw 50% fall and got in for a quick trade.But next RNS led to another 40% fall.I did say that audited results are needed to restore confidence as this has put a big question mark over everything.It looks like all BOD members apart from 1 has to go and that worries me.

If that is the case then payments from Croda has to cover plc costs otherwise company would be forced to raise money through placing.My Calculations show that company has enough cash until June, however I cant predict share price as a lot of speculative money is involved here and you dont know where it will end up.I have seen some worthless junks sitting on crazy market capitals.

Question is why would SA pay top price for these loss-making buisnesses?There are three possible scenarios all these buisnesses are worthless in that case there is no investment case here, second scenario is these buisnesses can be profitable under right person but need investment and third scenario is some of these buisnesses can be turned around and some of these cant be turned around.Figures we have cant be relied on, hopefully we will get full sketch after forensic Audit.

It is 100% sell, if it was buy share price would not have fallen this low.In my opinion last week's event has scared one or more institutional invester and he is dumping these shares.BOD has been forced to order this forensic audit to restore confidence.I do think it wont end here though as forensic audit can unearth some more dodgy deals.But it is hard to value this buisness.

Looks like company has been forced into carrying out this forensic audit and auditor would be going through every transaction.TW reckons there are some irregularities in two recent acquisitions and death spiral funding was used to buy these.Investers were led to believe that these two acquisitions were value accretive and would tide company through until Royalty comes in.Two possible scenarios these companies are breaking even at best or they are loss-making buisnesses for which top dollar was paid.

Sell,I did say that there is an institutional seller around.

Well that "short" must have gone really well as share price has fallen by 25% since then.

Dont tell me you have topped up again opulentia and now your "average" is £5.50.