Member Info for shamI89

If sanctions on Iranian oil are lifted, Iran would need to be compensated for its losses.Trump would not pay compensation, Tolling ships going through strait of Harmus is out of question so that leaves only one option.

Has visited many countries over last two days and its media is reporting that Trump would come this weekend too along with three or four head of states.I dont trust Trump but if he is visiting himself then a peace deal might be around the corner.By the looks of it Strait of Harmus would be opened and Iran wont toll any ship but sanctions would be lifted to compensate for its damage and its frozen assets would be released.Price of oil would collapss if Iranian oil enters the marker.Interesting few days ahead.

Again in Islamabad this weekend as per some newspapers, lets see if something can be worked out.Ideally ceasefire would be extended.

Meet again in Islamabad this weekend.Lets see if they agree over something or extend ceasefire.

By the looks of it he does not know what he is doing.He announced a cease-fire and agreed to 10 points Iranian agenda.Then as per Iranian delegation they were close to signing a "MOU" until it was sabotaged by Trump.Then Trump decided to block already blocked strait of Harmus.Would he chicken out or attack Iran nobody knows.

Well that Lunatic Nathan yahu has a strange doctrine according to which he is always at war with a country.Last "Cease-fire " covered Lebanon but looks like Nathan Yahu does not want peace.Iran knows what buttons to press to get its message across and that strategy is working.Looks like Trump is trying to drag Nato into this pointless war and is furious that Nato does not want to get involved.It is 50/50 from here!

Well Trump is about to sabotage deal that he just agreed a day ago.What a time to live in and not surprisngly this share has shed most of gains it made yesterday.

I am afraid and we have not seen the end of conflict yet.Strait of Harmus was open to everyone before that orange lunatic decided to attack Iran,Iran was willing to accept most of demands.As things stand Iran can make $100 billion per year by just taxing ships and it can sell its oil in international market as well.If weaker Iran was a threat to Nathan Yahu a stronger Iran would be a even bigger threat to him now.Meanwhile Donald Trump was lashing out at his Nato alies as they did not support him in this illegal war.Strait of Harmus is Iran's trump card and if it was able to force a lunatic like Trump into "ceasefire" because of it it has to more powerfull than military strength.If Nathan Yahu has some "material" on Trump which he had used to push him into this war , he can use that to make him break this cease-fire too.At some stage we will see Gulf states revisting their "Petro dollars" policy too and they might not renew their defense contracts with America.With so miuch at stake this "ceasefire" wont long last in my opinion.

It will retrace back to £3.20 by tomorrow.For some reason market is not factoring in permanent Ceasefire.

Believe that Trump would agree to these terms as looks like Iran would get better deal than JCPOA and it would get to control strait of Harmous and have the right to toll ships.Trump is either buying time to bring the price of oil down or has admitted defeat.

Something does not look right here, If Trump has agreed to all these points then Iran has better deal than JCPOA, plus enormous economic and political benefits.

They have been bitten twice and in their opinion Trump wants this ceasefire to calm price of oil down to carry on attacking.This crisis has singled America out as all countries have been affected by it.The moment price of oil hits $150 trump would have no choice and that is what Iran wants probably.Meanwhile he has exposed whole of Europe to another lunatic.

That orange lunatic has gone way too far with his threats to chicken out.Iran wants permanent ceasefire with international gaurantees.Strait of Harmus is only "Trump card" that Iran has and it wont open it without permanent ceasefire.Meanwhile this crisis can cost trump his presidency and he is under a lot of pressure to resolve it as soon as possible.

Another thing is I dont think this war will be over in a week or two.If Ukrainian war is any thing to go by then this conflict can go on for years.These sort of wars are used to settle scores.Iran wants gaurantees that it wont be attacked in another six months and nobody can give him that.Price of oil and strait of Harmuz are only two weapons it has and it is using them to inflict maximum damage on American economy.Most of European countries have distanced themselves from America due to this and if it carries on for another 6 months America would be hit really hard too.Either way a regime-chnge would take place but not sure which one would it be.

Trump has strengthened regime I am afraid.Most of Iranians hate regime but have stood by it as they dont want to be part of a civil war.If Trump leaves at this point,Iran would be controlling Strait of Harmuz and can dictate price of oil, a situation that is not acceptable for Gulf states or Israel.If Trumps carries on and this gets worst then not only price of oil would go through roof he would lose pollitical support and not onoy that he would be abandoned by his allies.Russia is only country that has gained a lot from this war Financially and militarily.Gulf states dont want to be part of it but if they are attacked by Iran then rest assured that America wont lose petro dollars and defense contracts worth trillions.It was a reckless mistake that could have been avoided.

Look at price action over last three weeks and we hardly had any blue days and strangely enough eachtime share was taken down.Inflation would eat into profits if this madness countinues.Sadly Trump has no control over situation anymore and it price of oil can hit $150.It is a binary bet at this point but a lot depends on price of oil.

Lets hope that this war ends soon, if it carries on for a longer period that it has potential to hit housebuilders in many ways.

Way things are going Gold,silver and oil plays are safest bets.Price of oil was being manipulated by Trump and it will bounce hard next week.

A lunatic like Trump has started this unnecessary war which has plunged whole world into absolute Chaos.If price of oil increases it would eat into whatever profit this company making and not only that cost of building materials would increase too.A lot depends on price of oil and as long as lunatic like Trump is around it wont come down soon.

Trump seemed to be clueless last night and did not answer few questions.From what I get he intends to put soldiers on ground and bombard iran heavily but has no plan "B".Price of oil would be high for very long time.