RE: Oh No!!7 Sep 2016 18:27
OK, in the interests of lively debate, here's why I've invested.
I hadn't come across THAL before, but noticed the RNS and subsequent SP drop on Friday. So I did a quick, and admittedly superficial, analysis. My thoughts were, in no particular order :
1. The PML investment does look like a bargain. On paper the £400k is immediately 'worth' £700k. Yes, yes, I know it doesn't really work like that, but at least the PML SP didn't plummet as might have been expected (in fact there's only been one trade since!)
2. Chairman holding 15% of shares - always a good sign. But not foolproof, as I learned to great cost with Sula :(
3. NAV high relative to mcap - very Grahamite. Whether that's still true - well, we'll know later this month.
4. SP obviously impacted by the low oil price, but that won't last forever. And shares in a gold miner might even act as a bit of a hedge.
5. Results due soon, so if they were really awful, I'd have expected a profit warning before now. So my guess is they'll be OK-ish.
6. Share buybacks rather than dividends make good sense, as they avoid the dividend tax.
So anyway, I'm in for ~£5k.
BTW, Papua New Guinea is thousands of miles from Africa!
GLA