if it were a house30 Oct 2005 17:32
COST Jixon, what do you reckon the eps will be for 2005. On a simplistic calculation 2004 interim to 2004 full, then appied to the 2005 interim, I reckon eps will be approaching 5p for 2005. As the sp falls below 40 then the PE approaches 8 (from 10 end of last year). Now, just to suit my simple logic, imagine Costain were a house (and for purpose of demonstration, I will talk in terms of £ thousands instead of millions). So the imaginary house is valued at 140K. Would you buy it? Now just think, it generates a growing profit each year so that at current rates it would return all of your investment in 8 years. Now that's a good investment. And what's more future revenue is very promising, so there is less risk. OK. Now just think the house comes with a cash pile up to 60k. You'd have to be mad not to buy it. Same goes for Costain shares.
I really don't understand why the value of a construction £ is so much less than £ generated elsewhere. Maybe I expect too much common sense from the market!!!
Common sense says the more the share price falls, the more rediculous and attractive the PE becomes.
I am a buyer, but then again, I only have my 'self to blame'